@0x5ca71d…1752
#3,168,143200x5ca71d4db029c5454210a858c6d98bca28668195
~113d· 458 markets · 11481 tradesVol: $5,099,2242026-09-29 05:19:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (250/448)12.9/20
0.42x (win $81,108 / loss $194,611)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1600/15
Sortino -3.2870/10
$-0.2274 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1351 (448 markets)5.7/10
26/77 profitable days (34%)0.9/10
Max DD 2524% of peak ($118,185 / $4,682)0/10
Badges
6Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 31.1 entries/market
Whale
$499,175 invested
High Roller
$2,170/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,650,845$-60,840Vol: $4,549,338
💰 FINANCE#415$12,241Vol: $410,627
₿ CRYPTO#1,719,305$-5,933Vol: $108,784
📈 ECONOMICS#2,411$1,470Vol: $26,460
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-53,068
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,099,224
Total Redeem
$11
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
458
total markets
Trades
7249B / 4232S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~113d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-67
Vol: $323
Month
$-75
Vol: $9,420
All Time
$-53,068
Vol: $5,099,224
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
250W / 198L events
Realized PnL
$-53,074
Win Rate
56%
250W / 198L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$324
Avg Loss
$-983
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $50,224 (0.9463015562131236% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$25,860
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$14,947
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$9,417
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$5,200
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$5,176
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4,787
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$4,250
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$3,816
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1,310
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?$913
Top Losers
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-56,331
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-30,996
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-23,834
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$-18,731
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$-8,764
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$-5,083
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$-4,946
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$-4,467
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-3,873
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-3,482
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.164
Sortino
-0.146
HHI
4217
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.151
Kelly %
33.8%
Half-Kelly
16.9%
Top-1 market
59.5%
Top-5 markets
104.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
49.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.7m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
48.7
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 8.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock50 trades/day — high frequency2.0 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
31.07
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)38.9%
Mid (20-55c)46.1%
High (>55c)15%
Sessions
#125/19/2026, 10:36:40 PM82 trades$123,4686 min
4/30/2026, 3:31:46 PM170 trades$76,94133 min
4/28/2026, 6:21:38 AM70 trades$59,18241 min
5/3/2026, 9:40:26 PM56 trades$45,5772 min
4/14/2026, 9:23:20 PM76 trades$39,16822 min
4/30/2026, 10:03:22 PM64 trades$38,9677 min
4/30/2026, 8:38:20 AM28 trades$35,7064 min
5/4/2026, 6:42:14 PM32 trades$33,6108 min
5/16/2026, 1:55:58 AM65 trades$32,8882 min
4/8/2026, 6:08:21 AM120 trades$29,78335 min
5/4/2026, 2:33:44 AM37 trades$25,4559 min
4/14/2026, 2:38:37 PM34 trades$23,4647 min
5/16/2026, 12:16:13 AM157 trades$21,7100 min
4/22/2026, 2:58:20 PM25 trades$21,48512 min
4/2/2026, 3:23:45 PM21 trades$20,6984 min
5/19/2026, 10:51:26 PM45 trades$18,9472 min
5/18/2026, 9:06:51 PM17 trades$18,8563 min
5/11/2026, 8:15:34 AM63 trades$17,9930 min
5/15/2026, 2:47:36 PM61 trades$17,4541 min
4/28/2026, 1:02:08 AM17 trades$16,2488 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-04
02-19
03-13
04-01
04-19
05-05
05-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 180 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.07/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.9 / M46.1 / H15