bullishkirby2

@bullishkirby2

#3,064,29930

0x5d2b958961e5de4b5b9240abf1ea59146cdbcb8c

~21d· 17 markets · 332 tradesVol: $1,494,1052026-08-06 05:33:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

80% (4/5)20/20
0.08x (win $3,747 / loss $47,455)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0365 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4673 (5 markets)0/10
3/4 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 1777% of peak ($47,455 / $2,670)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 80%
DCA Master
Avg 24.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,196,500 invested
Consistent
3/4 profitable days
High Roller
$19,942/day

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,337$-16,098Vol: $617,397
CRYPTO#16,598$2,646Vol: $403,080
SPORTS#83,286$225Vol: $225,000
📈 ECONOMICS#5,444$400Vol: $100,000
🎭 CULTURE#758,646$-46Vol: $2,045

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12,569
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,494,105
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
165B / 167S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$13
Vol: $2,568
Month
$8
Vol: $2,726
All Time
$-12,569
Vol: $1,494,105

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
4W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$-12,563
Win Rate
80%
4W / 1L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$937
Avg Loss
$-47,455

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,746 (0.2981844059021733% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2,670
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$800
Will G2 Esports win MSI 2026?$276
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?$1

Top Losers

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-47,455

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.448
Sortino
-10926975.000
HHI
1323
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.4%
Top-5 markets
55.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 153s — normal for humanCV 3.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.4
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 12:37:17 PM40 trades$289,8412 min
7/25/2026, 3:39:19 PM9 trades$220,1930 min
7/10/2026, 10:41:05 AM32 trades$138,4591 min
6/2/2026, 7:41:25 PM25 trades$101,0823 min
6/3/2026, 8:15:18 AM2 trades$100,5000 min
7/21/2026, 2:08:30 AM14 trades$94,7541 min
7/28/2026, 5:01:31 PM5 trades$90,0063 min
6/14/2026, 10:02:43 AM15 trades$60,5950 min
6/26/2026, 2:13:52 PM3 trades$46,7660 min
7/1/2026, 7:14:11 AM1 trades$43,0000 min
6/29/2026, 3:27:46 AM1 trades$42,3960 min
6/20/2026, 11:35:14 AM18 trades$32,4762 min
6/26/2026, 4:01:55 PM4 trades$27,2000 min
6/26/2026, 4:39:17 PM3 trades$20,1331 min
7/21/2026, 6:46:15 AM1 trades$14,6700 min
6/26/2026, 4:17:58 PM5 trades$12,8220 min
7/18/2026, 7:11:46 AM32 trades$10,42612 min
7/28/2026, 4:37:31 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
7/20/2026, 9:36:30 AM2 trades$8,9630 min
7/18/2026, 7:47:28 AM5 trades$8,4680 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-20
07-10
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100