@luckyborn

#2,926,78027

0x5da6cd2742d232d8bb71d3f8e3eadc0fd567370d

~78d· 958 markets · 4516 tradesVol: $128,6512026-10-08 03:46:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (483/949)10.4/20
0.92x (win $3,162 / loss $3,437)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9490/15
Sortino -1.1740/10
$-0.0278 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 125 (949 markets)10/10
36/69 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 644% of peak ($772 / $120)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+351
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,662,881$-829Vol: $119,278
💻 TECH#3,125$334Vol: $5,855
💰 FINANCE#29,838$38Vol: $3,346
🏛️ POLITICS#227,805$4Vol: $125
⚽ SPORTS#1,396,043$-12Vol: $46

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-465
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$128,651
Total Redeem
$1,463
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
958
total markets
Trades
2032B / 2484S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d

Periods

#2
Today
$34
Vol: $97
Week
$60
Vol: $1,378
Month
$116
Vol: $2,250
All Time
$-465
Vol: $128,651

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
483W / 466L events
Realized PnL
$351
Win Rate
51%
483W / 466L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $401 (1.1422256445357062% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$136
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 19?$135
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16?$129
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$114
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$102
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 2?$99
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$86
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?$82
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14?$66

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?$-322
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 25?$-183
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?$-144
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24?$-128
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8PM ET$-126
Ethereum Up or Down on June 15?$-80
Will Solana reach $75 on June 15?$-78
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 26?$-75
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 27?$-74
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$-67

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.049
Sortino
-0.049
HHI
127
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
17.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.0
Active
Markets / Day
8.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.9m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 154s — normal for humanCV 3.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency8.5 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.72
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.3%
Mid (20-55c)33.9%
High (>55c)62.8%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 3:41:57 PM7 trades$1,0296 min
6/9/2026, 2:00:48 AM7 trades$6630 min
7/23/2026, 5:49:12 PM15 trades$5723 min
7/1/2026, 11:32:16 AM2 trades$3720 min
6/30/2026, 5:12:32 PM4 trades$3660 min
6/19/2026, 9:40:50 PM11 trades$3213 min
6/11/2026, 4:35:13 PM2 trades$2940 min
6/14/2026, 12:04:13 AM8 trades$2470 min
6/24/2026, 5:18:38 PM18 trades$2259 min
6/18/2026, 4:39:52 PM20 trades$2203 min
6/3/2026, 11:35:48 PM62 trades$19350 min
6/16/2026, 2:49:18 AM11 trades$1831 min
6/11/2026, 2:48:57 AM13 trades$1762 min
7/23/2026, 12:59:31 AM3 trades$1720 min
6/16/2026, 2:11:42 AM3 trades$1690 min
8/10/2026, 4:25:42 PM53 trades$1669 min
6/15/2026, 11:09:55 AM5 trades$1500 min
5/11/2026, 8:27:50 PM71 trades$14965 min
6/19/2026, 10:57:55 PM9 trades$1490 min
6/30/2026, 11:54:52 PM13 trades$1484 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-15
06-11
06-22
07-06
07-21
08-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.3 / M33.9 / H62.8