@0x5e30…1ebd
20x5e30f433ca5ed19cc926c3b30ff8ba8fcb5a1ebd
~81d· 160 markets · 4063 trades2026-08-06 06:22:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
29% (46/156)0/20
0.87x (win $45,980 / loss $52,965)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4590/15
Sortino -1.1410/10
$-0.1012 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2216 (156 markets)1.4/10
5/42 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 133% of peak ($28,503 / $21,493)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
Whale
$69,013 invested
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,568
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$69,013
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
160
total markets
Trades
796B / 3267S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~81d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
29%
46W / 110L events
Realized PnL
$-1,568
Win Rate
29%
46W / 110L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$1,000
Avg Loss
$-486
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $43,249 (27.58909684745028% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$41,014
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1,797
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET$438
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 11?$343
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?$330
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$239
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 10?$218
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?$203
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 10?$149
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$144
Top Losers
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-14,549
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-6,328
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$-3,855
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$-3,486
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$-2,714
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-2,204
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-1,891
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$-1,487
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$-1,436
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-1,109
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.024
Sortino
-0.061
HHI
486
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.114
Kelly %
11.3%
Half-Kelly
5.7%
Top-1 market
18%
Top-5 markets
35.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
14.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.0
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 199s — normal for humanCV 2.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
23.93
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)59.8%
Mid (20-55c)17.1%
High (>55c)23.1%
Sessions
#126/26/2026, 5:25:11 AM21 trades$124,0651 min
6/26/2026, 12:55:14 AM17 trades$58,7441 min
5/29/2026, 12:27:33 AM21 trades$54,8748 min
5/30/2026, 7:40:24 AM33 trades$42,7251 min
5/28/2026, 9:52:21 PM57 trades$38,5315 min
6/5/2026, 4:00:57 PM34 trades$33,5225 min
5/29/2026, 12:10:33 AM16 trades$33,4007 min
6/25/2026, 3:38:52 PM23 trades$32,2140 min
6/18/2026, 3:49:16 PM9 trades$30,2076 min
6/8/2026, 5:56:37 AM25 trades$26,4392 min
6/18/2026, 8:18:50 PM10 trades$25,2371 min
5/29/2026, 4:51:17 PM13 trades$25,0232 min
6/18/2026, 4:11:16 PM4 trades$23,8400 min
7/13/2026, 4:12:55 PM10 trades$23,1470 min
6/30/2026, 3:08:23 AM10 trades$22,9450 min
5/29/2026, 7:23:13 PM16 trades$22,0834 min
5/29/2026, 12:41:05 AM2 trades$20,9990 min
6/25/2026, 10:38:47 PM74 trades$19,8081 min
6/18/2026, 4:22:07 PM5 trades$19,5330 min
6/20/2026, 3:19:26 PM35 trades$18,8813 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-24
11-21
01-24
05-26
06-06
06-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
16% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
80.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.93/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.8 / M17.1 / H23.1