@Simpsons2026

#84,3855

0x5f145575cb31aa906195799b371b476137f0c52a

~23d· 25 markets · 525 tradesVol: $343,4442026-10-08 02:11:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (1/4)0/20
0.02x (win $59 / loss $3,244)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.2206 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5398 (4 markets)0/10
1/2 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 5493% of peak ($3,244 / $59)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+906
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#19,256$919Vol: $343,164
⚽ SPORTS#734,773$-0Vol: $280

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$919
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$343,444
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
249B / 276S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,404
Vol: $34,931
Week
$-5,049
Vol: $324,242
Month
$-5,049
Vol: $324,242
All Time
$919
Vol: $343,444

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
0%
0W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$906
Win Rate
0%
0W / 1L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$59
Avg Loss
$-1,081

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $59 (0.06519699294600771% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$59

Top Losers

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$-2,773
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$-352
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$-119

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
259
Diversified
EV per $1
$-1.135
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
19.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 110s — normal for humanCV 3.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
57
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.2%
Mid (20-55c)10%
High (>55c)29.7%

Sessions

#12
10/5/2026, 4:45:46 AM31 trades$15,6205 min
10/5/2026, 4:24:26 AM10 trades$5,0331 min
10/1/2026, 5:54:51 AM38 trades$4,12115 min
10/3/2026, 4:26:06 PM32 trades$2,96311 min
10/4/2026, 1:23:19 AM19 trades$2,6604 min
10/4/2026, 2:54:26 AM34 trades$2,55121 min
10/1/2026, 2:55:12 PM2 trades$2,5000 min
10/4/2026, 8:09:59 PM18 trades$2,1295 min
10/2/2026, 1:43:54 PM16 trades$1,2199 min
10/2/2026, 9:29:30 PM30 trades$1,1892 min
10/2/2026, 1:28:32 PM10 trades$1,1886 min
9/30/2026, 4:01:30 PM4 trades$1,1801 min
9/30/2026, 3:50:20 PM4 trades$1,1190 min
10/4/2026, 8:48:34 PM12 trades$1,02210 min
10/4/2026, 9:06:19 PM14 trades$8715 min
10/4/2026, 12:01:58 AM1 trades$6460 min
10/4/2026, 9:50:31 PM10 trades$6240 min
9/30/2026, 4:59:38 PM8 trades$6194 min
10/5/2026, 3:25:58 AM11 trades$6096 min
10/4/2026, 8:22:55 PM10 trades$5390 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-10-05 03:59:00
2027-07-01 03:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.2 / M10 / H29.7