@15billionplus
#3,046,985810x6406102b2a67e987021169910c178ac8aa7dbc04
~91d· 889 markets · 17722 tradesVol: $955,8472026-08-06 06:22:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
66% (221/334)18.1/20
1.71x (win $42,988 / loss $25,147)11.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.36515/15
Sortino 7.19410/10
$+0.0299 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 289 (334 markets)10/10
42/68 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 35% of peak ($6,827 / $19,709)7.1/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 66%
DCA Master
Avg 14.0 entries/market
Whale
$597,635 invested
Consistent
42/68 profitable days
High Roller
$6,567/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,208$-2,139Vol: $567,359
⚽ SPORTS#1,811,560$-675Vol: $181,379
📈 ECONOMICS#679,626$-1,050Vol: $110,534
💰 FINANCE#652,203$-630Vol: $39,619
🎭 CULTURE#801,412$-311Vol: $23,280
₿ CRYPTO#1,548,374$-231Vol: $14,175
💻 TECH#243,324$-43Vol: $6,720
🌤️ WEATHER#226,216$-5Vol: $308
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,287
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$955,847
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
889
total markets
Trades
15381B / 2341S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~91d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $599
Week
$-60
Vol: $20,701
Month
$-222
Vol: $28,634
All Time
$-5,287
Vol: $955,847
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
66%
221W / 113L events
Realized PnL
$-5,123
Win Rate
66%
221W / 113L
Profit Factor
1.71x
Avg Win
$195
Avg Loss
$-223
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,967 (1.9457455136051034% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,724
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,659
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,585
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1,915
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1,644
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$1,509
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$1,473
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1,356
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$977
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$951
Top Losers
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,345
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,489
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-1,607
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$-1,002
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-880
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-776
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-736
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$-624
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-610
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$-531
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.175
Sortino
0.265
HHI
25
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
8.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
194.7
Very active
Markets / Day
9.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.2m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.1
Bot Detection
#675
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 227s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock195 trades/day — automation9.8 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.96
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)92.1%
Sessions
#127/7/2026, 11:43:35 PM51 trades$1,7514 min
7/2/2026, 1:01:53 PM10 trades$1,4589 min
6/14/2026, 9:42:13 PM21 trades$1,43229 min
6/29/2026, 9:23:44 PM29 trades$1,42238 min
7/2/2026, 1:17:10 PM12 trades$1,35516 min
6/15/2026, 5:33:36 PM18 trades$1,32928 min
7/2/2026, 6:16:02 PM32 trades$1,2574 min
7/13/2026, 3:52:50 PM50 trades$1,2234 min
6/15/2026, 4:27:28 PM21 trades$1,15934 min
6/24/2026, 3:15:13 PM15 trades$1,11711 min
6/29/2026, 11:32:23 PM13 trades$1,11416 min
7/19/2026, 10:12:25 PM22 trades$1,11026 min
6/25/2026, 4:10:14 PM18 trades$1,10514 min
6/30/2026, 7:14:49 AM8 trades$1,09914 min
6/29/2026, 12:04:25 PM15 trades$1,08217 min
7/12/2026, 3:45:59 AM35 trades$1,06911 min
7/21/2026, 10:16:21 AM25 trades$1,00111 min
6/24/2026, 6:01:26 PM17 trades$98834 min
6/24/2026, 3:36:19 PM19 trades$97613 min
6/14/2026, 8:48:46 AM31 trades$96132 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-03
05-14
05-27
06-13
06-24
07-05
07-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.2 / M7.7 / H92.1