@donaldsoto

#1,668,90340

0x694767324d0050c08ae287a957f018991ae1b7c0

~109d· 65 markets · 175 tradesVol: $22,4642026-10-08 03:10:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (7/33)0/20
1.24x (win $9 / loss $7)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.92715/15
Sortino 2.77310/10
$+0.0003 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 460 (33 markets)10/10
6/32 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 138% of peak ($7 / $5)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#906,348$-1Vol: $12,261
⚽ SPORTS#1,135,451$-3Vol: $7,187
₿ CRYPTO#908,241$-2Vol: $1,797
🎭 CULTURE#453,576$-0Vol: $758
📈 ECONOMICS#152,748$0Vol: $269
💰 FINANCE#376,933$-0Vol: $192

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,464
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
82B / 93S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~109d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
6W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-6
Win Rate
18%
6W / 27L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8 (1.357983193277311% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$-1
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?$-1
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-0
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-0
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-0
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$-0
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.048
Sortino
0.173
HHI
146
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
18.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
12.5h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 63880s — normal for humanCV 0.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.85
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)76.8%

Sessions

#12
11/1/2025, 5:03:01 AM2 trades$1880 min
5/31/2026, 1:24:12 AM2 trades$1780 min
2/1/2026, 12:10:24 AM2 trades$1720 min
2/23/2026, 8:18:48 PM2 trades$1720 min
12/16/2025, 6:29:31 AM2 trades$990 min
11/19/2025, 7:01:43 AM2 trades$971 min
11/30/2025, 2:25:38 PM1 trades$970 min
12/1/2025, 4:30:30 PM1 trades$970 min
11/29/2025, 12:43:43 AM1 trades$970 min
11/29/2025, 7:18:57 PM1 trades$970 min
11/18/2025, 1:38:47 PM1 trades$970 min
11/20/2025, 10:07:17 PM1 trades$970 min
11/22/2025, 10:45:05 AM1 trades$960 min
11/25/2025, 9:10:17 AM1 trades$960 min
11/26/2025, 2:55:35 AM1 trades$960 min
11/16/2025, 10:43:23 PM2 trades$960 min
11/15/2025, 11:03:10 AM1 trades$960 min
12/15/2025, 12:38:15 PM1 trades$960 min
12/20/2025, 6:17:17 PM2 trades$950 min
12/12/2025, 3:48:12 PM1 trades$950 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
11-29
12-23
01-09
01-20
02-19
05-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 117 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.2 / M0 / H76.8