@xm39

#3,182,72424

0x696de7b6e43f45378f60402b9fccff9c7484f89d

~53d· 101 markets · 2784 tradesVol: $3,743,8922026-10-05 09:46:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (58/98)14.6/20
0.53x (win $3,494 / loss $6,584)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4740/15
Sortino -3.4730/10
$-0.0050 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1254 (98 markets)6.2/10
9/22 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 444% of peak ($3,988 / $897)0/10

Badges

7
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 6.0 entries/market
Whale
$618,830 invested
High Roller
$2,839/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,656,233$-111,315Vol: $3,408,151
📈 ECONOMICS#700,542$-36,661Vol: $120,000
⚽ SPORTS#1,851,845$-593Vol: $78,635

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-160,941
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,743,892
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
101
total markets
Trades
2050B / 734S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d

Periods

#2
Week
$8
Vol: $0
Month
$-28,488
Vol: $283,391
All Time
$-160,941
Vol: $3,743,892

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
58W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-149,338
Win Rate
59%
58W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-173

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $571 (0.0038218063535973754% of PnL)

Top Winners

76ers vs. Timberwolves$222
Grizzlies vs. Pacers$175
Heat vs. Hornets$173
Pelicans vs. Jazz$151
Trail Blazers vs. Bulls$134
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)$123
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)$119
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)$112
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)$106
Raptors vs. Pelicans$106

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-3,580
Kings vs. Lakers$-324
Bucks vs. Bulls$-242
Pacers vs. Lakers$-209
Celtics vs. Suns$-170
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)$-144
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$-127
Suns vs. Raptors$-120
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)$-104
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.178
Sortino
-0.140
HHI
0
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.206
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
0.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.3m
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
11.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — normal for humanCV 11.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.5 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.01
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.3%
Mid (20-55c)39.9%
High (>55c)4.8%

Sessions

#12
8/27/2026, 7:06:00 AM157 trades$616,5472 min
7/30/2026, 1:13:35 AM283 trades$259,63542 min
8/30/2026, 11:43:03 PM119 trades$205,4609 min
7/30/2026, 12:46:08 AM94 trades$114,60020 min
8/11/2026, 7:45:37 AM31 trades$97,7990 min
8/18/2026, 12:33:52 AM57 trades$58,0110 min
7/30/2026, 6:56:21 AM4 trades$34,0463 min
8/10/2026, 11:53:07 AM28 trades$32,7630 min
7/30/2026, 5:48:54 AM36 trades$28,3333 min
7/30/2026, 6:19:29 AM6 trades$23,8560 min
7/30/2026, 11:11:45 AM5 trades$22,5465 min
7/30/2026, 6:37:57 AM20 trades$16,7373 min
8/4/2026, 1:09:26 PM20 trades$13,1181 min
7/30/2026, 2:05:32 AM4 trades$11,0810 min
8/31/2026, 12:37:43 PM15 trades$9,8231 min
8/19/2026, 12:42:55 PM8 trades$7,5034 min
8/2/2026, 10:54:20 PM7 trades$6,3600 min
8/3/2026, 12:01:11 AM5 trades$5,8117 min
8/4/2026, 5:38:41 AM1 trades$5,7950 min
8/6/2026, 4:22:51 PM24 trades$5,6788 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
02-20
02-23
02-26
03-01
03-10
03-13
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 137 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.01/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.3 / M39.9 / H4.8