@0x6bf6…2529

62

0x6bf633e483ed85b5a73c5a387bdffdd100772529

~108d· 2025 markets · 6510 trades2026-10-08 01:20:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (1189/1998)14.8/20
1.12x (win $5,265 / loss $4,716)4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.96615/15
Sortino 1.28210/10
$+0.0289 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 374 (1998 markets)10/10
57/102 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 150% of peak ($1,398 / $935)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,219
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,219
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,005
Total Redeem
$193
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2025
total markets
Trades
3879B / 2631S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~108d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
1189W / 809L events
Realized PnL
$1,219
Win Rate
60%
1189W / 809L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $765 (0.627834848534576% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?$314
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?$227
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?$224
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$186
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 7?$143
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 9?$141
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 9?$141
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 12?$129
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 8?$123
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11?$122

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on June 8?$-363
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?$-320
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 7?$-297
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 7?$-218
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10?$-121
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 5?$-94
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 18?$-93
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?$-89
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 6?$-86
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 9?$-85

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.050
Sortino
0.047
HHI
99
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
14.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
44.6
Active
Markets / Day
13.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.6m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 71s — normal for humanCV 3.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock45 trades/day — high frequency14 markets/day — mass coverage58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.23
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34%
Mid (20-55c)13.7%
High (>55c)52.3%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 10:59:03 AM31 trades$14,9890 min
6/7/2026, 5:42:25 AM62 trades$63428 min
6/9/2026, 10:18:28 AM20 trades$5436 min
6/9/2026, 7:25:19 AM19 trades$5348 min
6/6/2026, 6:39:12 AM25 trades$5157 min
6/6/2026, 5:06:54 AM22 trades$51510 min
6/9/2026, 9:54:12 AM23 trades$45516 min
6/6/2026, 3:51:19 AM33 trades$4549 min
6/8/2026, 7:49:00 AM38 trades$45219 min
6/6/2026, 5:43:55 AM56 trades$45020 min
5/10/2026, 5:26:58 AM26 trades$41011 min
5/10/2026, 11:16:51 AM304 trades$40840 min
8/8/2026, 3:02:46 AM4 trades$4000 min
6/11/2026, 6:54:16 AM35 trades$3879 min
6/18/2026, 3:07:17 AM36 trades$36633 min
6/11/2026, 9:00:54 AM2 trades$3520 min
6/9/2026, 7:55:34 AM14 trades$3247 min
6/7/2026, 6:55:28 AM23 trades$31420 min
7/13/2026, 7:59:05 AM5 trades$2851 min
6/8/2026, 4:46:10 AM22 trades$2637 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
04-03
04-30
05-17
06-11
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
94% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34 / M13.7 / H52.3