@mignonpignon

#40,36135

0x6fb2a326fa81390a70407a00e1f484281cfb7adf

~155d· 358 markets · 4124 tradesVol: $668,4532026-08-06 06:09:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (129/339)4/20
1.04x (win $5,837 / loss $5,621)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3967.4/15
Sortino 0.6626.6/10
$+0.0108 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 138 (339 markets)10/10
31/73 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 105% of peak ($886 / $844)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+2,712
Lottery Player
85% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#7,784$3,668Vol: $523,868
SPORTS#1,745,929$-213Vol: $112,496

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,782
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$668,453
Total Redeem
$1,000
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
358
total markets
Trades
3590B / 534S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~155d

Periods

#2
Today
$-142
Vol: $0
Week
$341
Vol: $1,775
Month
$361
Vol: $1,939
All Time
$2,782
Vol: $668,453

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
129W / 210L events
Realized PnL
$2,712
Win Rate
38%
129W / 210L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,304 (0.48084425401367265% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-05-09?$626
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$389
LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LFL Regular Season$289
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$263
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner$194
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$186
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 2 Winner$152
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?$139
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$135
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner$134

Top Losers

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-248
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winner$-230
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-178
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stage$-131
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner$-125
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-05-03?$-108
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner$-107
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner$-100
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner$-100
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.021
Sortino
0.035
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
10.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.4m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 687s — normal for humanCV 3.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency1.8 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.51
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)84.6%
Mid (20-55c)5.8%
High (>55c)9.6%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 11:24:31 AM16 trades$7480 min
7/29/2026, 4:02:42 PM7 trades$7352 min
7/13/2026, 12:42:02 PM5 trades$5824 min
5/17/2026, 9:15:14 AM2 trades$5560 min
5/7/2026, 5:58:23 PM2 trades$5130 min
6/25/2026, 6:56:20 PM24 trades$5007 min
4/24/2026, 6:26:00 PM2 trades$4890 min
7/7/2026, 6:37:43 AM6 trades$4710 min
5/9/2026, 9:44:07 PM2 trades$4503 min
7/29/2026, 3:25:57 PM14 trades$4400 min
4/5/2026, 3:45:55 PM2 trades$4400 min
6/20/2026, 7:01:07 AM4 trades$4321 min
6/12/2026, 6:35:33 PM14 trades$4210 min
4/28/2026, 6:09:00 AM14 trades$4064 min
4/6/2026, 3:33:51 PM11 trades$4060 min
4/25/2026, 4:32:06 PM2 trades$4000 min
7/19/2026, 9:56:42 PM2 trades$3573 min
5/23/2026, 6:13:46 AM14 trades$3400 min
5/16/2026, 8:14:13 AM7 trades$3303 min
6/24/2026, 5:46:47 PM25 trades$3295 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
02-18
03-31
05-04
06-15
06-28
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.51/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L84.6 / M5.8 / H9.6