d1k21

@d1k21

#2,00347

0x71ed0bc95433cdf1be29f43219725fce9addd9eb

~816d· 2312 markets · 41861 tradesVol: $50,277,3602026-09-29 07:06:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

71% (1630/2291)20/20
1.07x (win $1,416,725 / loss $1,325,250)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0941.8/15
Sortino 0.1331.3/10
$+0.0061 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 97 (2291 markets)10/10
376/500 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 618% of peak ($614,188 / $99,331)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+125,793
DCA Master
Avg 19.2 entries/market
Whale
$15,068,326 invested
Consistent
376/500 profitable days
High Roller
$15,945/day
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,399$33,990Vol: $31,748,493
📈 ECONOMICS#148$49,945Vol: $13,858,157
⚽ SPORTS#1,817,193$-347Vol: $1,765,142
₿ CRYPTO#13,001$3,414Vol: $950,965
🎭 CULTURE#6,650$652Vol: $754,485
💻 TECH#1,355$1,145Vol: $580,385
💰 FINANCE#200,539$0Vol: $327,950
📢 MENTIONS#3,395$271Vol: $98,103
🌤️ WEATHER#8,069$77Vol: $57,615

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$92,874
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,277,360
Total Redeem
$65,035
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2312
total markets
Trades
20137B / 21724S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~816d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$400
Vol: $4,899
Month
$-23,188
Vol: $465,970
All Time
$92,874
Vol: $50,277,360

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
71%
1630W / 661L events
Realized PnL
$125,793
Win Rate
71%
1630W / 661L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$869
Avg Loss
$-2,881

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,075,045 (8.546111618203364% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$551,713
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$463,113
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$60,219
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$17,175
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $16,664
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$16,580
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$12,948
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$11,781
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$10,269
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$8,834

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-556,729
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-504,791
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$-63,961
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $-28,254
Government shutdown on Saturday?$-16,750
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-12,906
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-10,443
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$-9,625
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$-8,796
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$-6,889

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.005
Sortino
0.003
HHI
94
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
15%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
44.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.6m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 136s — normal for humanCV 2.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock44 trades/day — high frequency2.4 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.18
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.2%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)67.4%

Sessions

#12
2/28/2026, 6:57:07 AM35 trades$118,90620 min
2/2/2026, 12:29:02 PM2 trades$90,2401 min
5/30/2026, 6:19:58 AM15 trades$88,6414 min
4/2/2025, 1:45:16 AM5 trades$79,9003 min
7/29/2026, 5:55:06 PM13 trades$76,7505 min
9/25/2024, 6:25:02 AM79 trades$72,31438 min
6/3/2025, 9:38:56 AM20 trades$69,61631 min
10/31/2024, 7:11:28 AM33 trades$68,01016 min
1/30/2026, 11:49:12 AM23 trades$67,0109 min
11/6/2024, 9:35:01 AM37 trades$66,70725 min
9/24/2024, 6:16:07 AM9 trades$56,2007 min
1/3/2025, 3:38:00 AM5 trades$55,5012 min
10/30/2024, 4:10:00 AM129 trades$52,26422 min
9/5/2024, 1:47:14 PM13 trades$48,48111 min
8/19/2024, 5:33:42 AM14 trades$48,4585 min
7/29/2026, 4:40:38 PM17 trades$48,20515 min
9/23/2024, 10:55:37 AM47 trades$48,12467 min
11/4/2024, 11:45:29 AM4 trades$44,9322 min
11/4/2024, 12:04:43 PM16 trades$44,6193 min
11/13/2024, 3:35:09 AM147 trades$43,72979 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-13
12-01
02-24
06-13
10-29
03-12
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.2 / M11.4 / H67.4