tetrose

@tetrose

#54118

0x74471a007ddcc488f6d57b5e86dfb35a8d48a16d

~272d· 502 markets · 33898 tradesVol: $46,774,3662026-08-06 05:29:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (160/429)3.6/20
0.99x (win $3,044,338 / loss $3,074,426)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0290/15
Sortino -0.0580/10
$-0.0036 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 265 (429 markets)10/10
65/179 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 287% of peak ($981,930 / $342,120)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+384,564
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Whale
$8,363,330 invested
High Roller
$26,054/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#114$436,099Vol: $37,622,688
📈 ECONOMICS#683,676$-101,537Vol: $5,410,348
💰 FINANCE#50$68,300Vol: $2,281,253
💻 TECH#461$4,115Vol: $513,705
🎭 CULTURE#271$29,505Vol: $120,844
SPORTS#1,880,115$-13,735Vol: $111,369
CRYPTO#1,675,943$-12,928Vol: $80,994
🌤️ WEATHER#1,901$800Vol: $4,000
📢 MENTIONS#818$1,755Vol: $2,440

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$385,065
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,774,366
Total Redeem
$34,008
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
502
total markets
Trades
17725B / 16173S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~272d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,869
Vol: $957
Week
$-20,965
Vol: $1,106,213
Month
$-42,017
Vol: $1,251,856
All Time
$385,065
Vol: $46,774,366

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
160W / 269L events
Realized PnL
$384,564
Win Rate
37%
160W / 269L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$19,027
Avg Loss
$-11,515

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,777,270 (4.621514585089053% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,430,273
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$221,346
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$125,650
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$94,541
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$90,010
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$77,556
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$62,790
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$56,333
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$53,484
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$50,450

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-624,314
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-223,601
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-140,795
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-121,111
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-119,691
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-116,219
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-84,333
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-82,981
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-66,606
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$-62,595

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.002
Sortino
-0.003
HHI
485
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
37.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
105.6
Very active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.0m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
68.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 69s — normal for humanCV 5.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock106 trades/day — automation1.6 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
89.5
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.2%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)27.5%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 3:27:53 PM29 trades$735,9573 min
6/15/2026, 7:38:49 PM52 trades$386,4139 min
7/1/2026, 3:19:19 PM8 trades$255,0636 min
5/6/2026, 10:38:08 AM187 trades$227,93641 min
6/18/2026, 6:22:47 PM178 trades$216,10318 min
4/28/2026, 8:03:32 PM22 trades$200,0013 min
5/6/2026, 3:33:59 PM72 trades$193,5571 min
5/10/2026, 8:41:42 PM89 trades$188,7250 min
6/7/2026, 11:34:40 PM92 trades$186,2410 min
6/16/2026, 3:57:44 PM5 trades$180,3781 min
7/17/2026, 5:57:04 PM258 trades$177,9750 min
6/11/2026, 8:35:22 AM29 trades$176,6006 min
7/7/2026, 7:33:01 PM19 trades$176,0840 min
4/24/2026, 11:18:10 AM176 trades$175,25711 min
7/26/2026, 10:22:27 AM50 trades$157,9420 min
7/10/2026, 9:37:44 PM25 trades$155,4099 min
4/19/2026, 8:09:50 PM152 trades$151,73011 min
6/19/2026, 10:31:10 AM108 trades$149,3019 min
6/30/2026, 1:28:14 AM37 trades$140,9720 min
5/7/2026, 9:19:36 PM48 trades$138,0690 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-21
12-04
02-01
04-03
05-13
06-20
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 89.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.2 / M25.2 / H27.5