@Casemiro18
#2,474,482340x76c7ad96e789e3995046af3bb13218f5f1a2860e
~74d· 408 markets · 1146 tradesVol: $22,3492026-10-08 02:15:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
57% (225/396)13.4/20
0.92x (win $999 / loss $1,084)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8790/15
Sortino -1.1010/10
$-0.0219 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 68 (396 markets)10/10
43/66 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 199% of peak ($302 / $152)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+23
Consistent
43/66 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders
Categories
6🌤️ WEATHER#280,725$-56Vol: $20,758
💰 FINANCE#616,956$-31Vol: $772
⚽ SPORTS#220,150$22Vol: $322
🏛️ POLITICS#140,528$18Vol: $235
₿ CRYPTO#1,253,757$-18Vol: $222
📈 ECONOMICS#78,343$3Vol: $40
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-63
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,349
Total Redeem
$105
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
408
total markets
Trades
954B / 192S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~74d
Periods
#2Today
$-2
Vol: $85
Week
$9
Vol: $494
Month
$-7
Vol: $2,693
All Time
$-63
Vol: $22,349
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
57%
225W / 171L events
Realized PnL
$23
Win Rate
57%
225W / 171L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-7
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $125 (5.493859649122807% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 14?$58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 29?$39
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?$28
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 14?$28
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 28?$21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 14?$19
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?$18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 8?$14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 10?$14
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 7?$14
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 14?$-39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 18?$-26
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 5?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on August 17?$-17
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 5?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 5?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?$-15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 4?$-15
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.046
Sortino
-0.038
HHI
51
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.024
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
9.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 704s — normal for humanCV 1.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal2.2 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.78
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.4%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)64.3%
Sessions
#128/30/2026, 9:13:15 AM9 trades$951 min
8/19/2026, 11:20:07 AM6 trades$831 min
3/4/2026, 4:51:13 AM2 trades$710 min
8/24/2026, 4:19:28 PM3 trades$670 min
5/29/2026, 3:02:08 AM2 trades$620 min
5/14/2026, 6:56:43 AM18 trades$577 min
8/22/2026, 10:44:51 PM2 trades$550 min
3/11/2026, 12:12:01 PM7 trades$514 min
8/19/2026, 5:20:33 PM4 trades$503 min
5/14/2026, 7:34:03 AM17 trades$456 min
3/18/2026, 7:46:59 PM3 trades$411 min
7/10/2026, 3:20:07 PM2 trades$390 min
3/16/2026, 5:23:13 AM4 trades$394 min
3/4/2026, 5:45:33 AM2 trades$380 min
5/29/2026, 12:54:07 AM4 trades$380 min
5/30/2026, 1:35:37 AM2 trades$360 min
3/12/2026, 11:41:33 AM3 trades$350 min
5/14/2026, 4:51:45 AM9 trades$3411 min
3/4/2026, 5:12:53 AM2 trades$342 min
5/14/2026, 6:33:23 AM13 trades$3111 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-04
05-18
06-08
06-24
07-16
08-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
94% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.4 / M32.4 / H64.3