@scorp0212

#3,145,8651

0x778b3524d05d89789de8035fa7233f33c43b4e2d

~40d· 49 markets · 1355 tradesVol: $263,4072026-10-01 16:38:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (5/25)0/20
0.08x (win $2,114 / loss $25,030)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.2890/15
Sortino -6.8460/10
$-0.5299 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2337 (25 markets)0.8/10
3/17 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 2098% of peak ($24,085 / $1,148)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,646,213$-6,194Vol: $244,605
📈 ECONOMICS#18,360$49Vol: $18,076
₿ CRYPTO#1,333,080$-30Vol: $726

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,175
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$263,407
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
721B / 634S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$416
Vol: $0
Week
$729
Vol: $8,351
Month
$1,719
Vol: $27,604
All Time
$-6,175
Vol: $263,407

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
5W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-11,657
Win Rate
20%
5W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$423
Avg Loss
$-1,252

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,013 (0.17268429274770752% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$1,279
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$623
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$110
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?$81
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?$20

Top Losers

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$-10,429
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$-6,809
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$-4,587
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-908
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-626
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$-510
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-236
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?$-182
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$-140
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$-140

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.370
Sortino
-0.347
HHI
918
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.794
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.5%
Top-5 markets
55.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 162s — normal for humanCV 2.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
40.12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27%
Mid (20-55c)41.2%
High (>55c)31.8%

Sessions

#12
8/12/2026, 5:47:34 PM13 trades$11,1112 min
8/9/2026, 10:12:27 PM15 trades$6,1118 min
8/12/2026, 4:50:30 AM35 trades$5,5541 min
8/12/2026, 3:41:16 PM9 trades$5,3591 min
8/14/2026, 6:41:46 AM15 trades$4,0035 min
8/27/2026, 1:24:04 AM30 trades$3,9593 min
8/10/2026, 7:34:57 PM15 trades$3,9092 min
8/3/2026, 3:56:35 AM17 trades$3,4596 min
8/2/2026, 3:28:26 AM18 trades$2,8718 min
8/4/2026, 4:42:32 PM42 trades$2,76928 min
8/21/2026, 12:44:52 PM3 trades$2,3250 min
8/2/2026, 7:05:30 AM42 trades$2,15510 min
8/4/2026, 1:17:57 AM7 trades$2,0710 min
8/14/2026, 6:53:39 AM16 trades$1,9856 min
8/4/2026, 2:42:32 AM53 trades$1,96066 min
8/7/2026, 2:47:07 PM12 trades$1,8660 min
8/12/2026, 7:55:28 AM46 trades$1,8101 min
8/4/2026, 5:32:48 PM17 trades$1,79411 min
7/30/2026, 1:42:17 AM4 trades$1,7512 min
7/13/2026, 3:45:34 PM5 trades$1,6452 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-11
07-13
07-15
07-18
07-21
07-28
08-02
08-11
08-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 40.12/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27 / M41.2 / H31.8