@john-difool

#3,038,76840

0x79c7c7131321d66d24d31b6982b46f6f2ca278a6

~138d· 121 markets · 1686 tradesVol: $305,9482026-08-06 06:07:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (82/118)19.7/20
0.64x (win $2,204 / loss $3,439)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4770/15
Sortino -2.6100/10
$-0.0471 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 336 (118 markets)10/10
43/58 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 533% of peak ($1,830 / $343)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
Consistent
43/58 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,081$-3,452Vol: $266,001
📢 MENTIONS#173,999$-578Vol: $26,412
💰 FINANCE#13,442$173Vol: $4,798
SPORTS#1,618,973$-60Vol: $3,753
CRYPTO#1,530,459$-186Vol: $2,924
🎭 CULTURE#763,968$-53Vol: $1,874
💻 TECH#11,928$25Vol: $186

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,131
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$305,948
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
121
total markets
Trades
1017B / 669S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~138d

Periods

#2
Week
$1,744
Vol: $0
Month
$1,699
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,131
Vol: $305,948

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
82W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-5,875
Win Rate
69%
82W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-98

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $748 (0.12737642585551331% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$297
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$278
Will Trump say "Somalia" during the State of the Union address?$174
Will Trump say "Peace Through Strength" at Fort Bragg on Friday?$143
Will Trump say "Biden" 15+ times during Iowa speech?$138
Will Keir Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$102
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$92
Will Trump say "Arizona" during the State of the Union address?$86
Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?$68
Artemis II booster rupture?$66

Top Losers

Will Trump or Melania say "Chicago" at Chicago Opening Night?$-847
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$-289
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$-278
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$-225
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)$-218
Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next press briefing?$-208
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Miami address?$-176
Will Trump say "Inherited a Mess" in Rome, GA on February 19?$-159
Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next press briefing?$-148
Will Trump say "El Salvador" this week? (March 8)$-128

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.129
Sortino
-0.088
HHI
99
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.082
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
16.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 498s — normal for humanCV 1.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.68
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.7%
Mid (20-55c)9.1%
High (>55c)32.2%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 8:47:42 PM11 trades$2,7710 min
5/13/2026, 10:10:46 PM15 trades$1,2571 min
7/1/2026, 11:08:07 PM9 trades$1,1280 min
6/15/2026, 8:35:01 PM26 trades$1,1211 min
4/13/2026, 8:08:49 PM12 trades$7560 min
5/19/2026, 10:58:29 AM19 trades$7085 min
4/20/2026, 6:05:32 PM11 trades$6920 min
5/31/2026, 10:35:25 AM15 trades$6481 min
5/16/2026, 10:50:55 PM11 trades$6266 min
7/15/2026, 1:20:41 AM9 trades$5941 min
5/19/2026, 9:35:06 PM3 trades$5590 min
6/11/2026, 6:17:39 PM12 trades$5591 min
6/21/2026, 10:30:55 AM16 trades$5490 min
5/27/2026, 11:51:11 AM17 trades$5450 min
4/1/2026, 12:47:19 AM23 trades$5284 min
7/26/2026, 12:22:24 PM7 trades$5180 min
6/21/2026, 9:56:32 PM16 trades$5095 min
5/28/2026, 12:03:27 AM15 trades$4681 min
3/18/2026, 7:16:29 PM2 trades$4621 min
5/30/2026, 5:30:34 PM15 trades$4600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-17
01-22
02-04
02-13
02-27
03-15
04-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.68/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.7 / M9.1 / H32.2