@hunterbidensdad
#2,905,279290x7a48e52999c2080fe93ef588bea1c9a4f69bc9e9
~41d· 29 markets · 67 tradesVol: $6,0272026-09-30 07:08:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
57% (16/28)13.6/20
0.41x (win $296 / loss $729)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3090/15
Sortino -5.3220/10
$-0.1862 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 757 (28 markets)8.7/10
11/20 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 1442% of peak ($466 / $32)0/10
Badges
1Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,579,711$-240Vol: $4,833
📈 ECONOMICS#684,061$-215Vol: $460
₿ CRYPTO#206,291$12Vol: $350
🎭 CULTURE#54,235$16Vol: $140
💰 FINANCE#542,506$-4Vol: $111
⚽ SPORTS#0$0Vol: $100
📢 MENTIONS#128,993$-8Vol: $32
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-440
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,027
Total Redeem
$29
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
40B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d
Periods
#2Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$15
Vol: $100
All Time
$-440
Vol: $6,027
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
57%
16W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-440
Win Rate
57%
16W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-66
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $146 (0.33246889146704883% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$66
Will Biden finish his term?$46
Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?$35
Justin Trudeau out as leader of Liberals before April?$30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$19
Canada election called before April?$16
Trudeau out in 2024?$15
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$14
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election?$13
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10
Top Losers
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?$-256
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$-200
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$-100
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-100
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$-25
Trump out as President in 2025?$-20
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$-15
U.S. Recession in 2024?$-4
Trump wins every swing state?$-4
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.271
Sortino
-0.226
HHI
717
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.189
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.3%
Top-5 markets
49.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.21
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.5%
Mid (20-55c)22.5%
High (>55c)65%
Sessions
#124/29/2025, 2:48:06 AM1 trades$3550 min
8/20/2024, 8:52:15 PM4 trades$3061 min
11/4/2024, 1:15:20 AM3 trades$3052 min
7/24/2024, 1:05:14 PM2 trades$2751 min
1/6/2025, 5:31:11 AM1 trades$1300 min
7/24/2024, 1:45:52 PM2 trades$1230 min
12/19/2024, 10:53:38 PM1 trades$1120 min
8/2/2024, 11:52:56 PM2 trades$1031 min
7/22/2024, 10:51:31 PM4 trades$1003 min
8/24/2024, 5:48:04 PM1 trades$1000 min
9/6/2024, 4:41:34 PM1 trades$1000 min
9/11/2024, 4:45:33 PM1 trades$1000 min
10/1/2024, 9:06:55 PM1 trades$1000 min
10/2/2024, 3:19:12 PM1 trades$1000 min
12/31/2024, 11:55:12 AM1 trades$1000 min
5/1/2025, 5:05:43 PM1 trades$990 min
10/1/2024, 9:17:53 PM1 trades$990 min
12/16/2024, 11:26:57 PM1 trades$970 min
11/21/2024, 12:31:43 AM1 trades$880 min
3/25/2025, 8:43:40 PM1 trades$700 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-23
08-20
10-01
11-05
12-17
03-20
09-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 378 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.5 / M22.5 / H65