@xispa

#3,142,30112

0x7c683877a57cebb7164a0f9bd6b033ddbcc9f2a8

~75d· 544 markets · 1547 tradesVol: $362,3092026-10-08 03:48:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (182/538)1.9/20
0.74x (win $7,396 / loss $10,020)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0060/15
Sortino -5.7360/10
$-0.1250 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 57 (538 markets)10/10
17/66 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,121 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,622,695$-727Vol: $159,028
₿ CRYPTO#1,710,173$-2,294Vol: $138,922
⚽ SPORTS#1,842,196$-491Vol: $23,418
💰 FINANCE#657,414$-342Vol: $18,643
🎭 CULTURE#20,788$100Vol: $11,312
💻 TECH#252,957$-27Vol: $5,472
🌤️ WEATHER#275,792$-41Vol: $4,099
📈 ECONOMICS#517,226$-2Vol: $528
📢 MENTIONS#160,982$-49Vol: $118

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,922
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$362,309
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
544
total markets
Trades
990B / 557S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~75d

Periods

#2
Today
$-33
Vol: $545
Week
$23
Vol: $26,067
Month
$-41
Vol: $30,610
All Time
$-3,922
Vol: $362,309

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
169W / 349L events
Realized PnL
$-3,922
Win Rate
33%
169W / 349L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $789 (0.201085085932381% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$267
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$263
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$259
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$246
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$208
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$188
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$179
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$175
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$172
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$171

Top Losers

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$-314
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?$-205
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$-194
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$-181
Magic vs. 76ers$-172
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$-148
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$-141
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$-139
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$-130
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$-115

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.260
Sortino
-0.312
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.124
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
8.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.5m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 1.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.87
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.9%
Mid (20-55c)49.2%
High (>55c)3.9%

Sessions

#12
2/18/2026, 12:07:15 AM35 trades$2,58364 min
2/17/2026, 11:12:55 PM22 trades$94131 min
2/10/2026, 11:13:49 PM11 trades$81416 min
2/25/2026, 11:57:38 AM14 trades$75729 min
2/18/2026, 12:53:52 PM20 trades$75331 min
9/6/2026, 10:01:12 PM39 trades$7131 min
2/17/2026, 11:48:57 PM9 trades$70213 min
11/6/2025, 2:14:35 PM5 trades$5978 min
10/1/2026, 10:21:26 AM35 trades$5963 min
2/17/2026, 7:02:11 PM14 trades$58918 min
9/21/2026, 9:40:33 PM44 trades$4897 min
2/10/2026, 11:58:33 PM25 trades$45820 min
2/17/2026, 8:59:13 PM12 trades$44020 min
2/17/2026, 8:31:31 PM6 trades$3619 min
2/18/2026, 8:38:48 PM9 trades$3579 min
2/17/2026, 7:27:07 PM16 trades$35718 min
2/18/2026, 7:51:32 PM9 trades$35312 min
2/18/2026, 11:52:44 PM11 trades$34619 min
4/1/2026, 10:20:43 PM6 trades$3410 min
2/25/2026, 12:33:12 PM8 trades$3409 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-11
11-05
11-18
01-31
02-24
04-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.87/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.9 / M49.2 / H3.9