@nemtsov

#83,19136

0x7ca0b03200ee7efadf73d5b2f580350ee8dee17a

~216d· 365 markets · 2436 tradesVol: $85,1762026-10-04 23:08:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (207/362)13.6/20
1.01x (win $3,326 / loss $3,306)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0480.9/15
Sortino 0.0670.7/10
$+0.0016 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 146 (362 markets)10/10
83/134 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 97% of peak ($582 / $602)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+898
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 8.8 entries/market
Consistent
83/134 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#4,982$1,019Vol: $76,106
🏛️ POLITICS#123,951$25Vol: $6,017
⚽ SPORTS#1,711,329$-100Vol: $2,848
📈 ECONOMICS#111,324$1Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$943
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$85,176
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
365
total markets
Trades
1620B / 816S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~216d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $5
Week
$-3
Vol: $278
Month
$187
Vol: $1,302
All Time
$943
Vol: $85,176

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
207W / 155L events
Realized PnL
$898
Win Rate
57%
207W / 155L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $810 (0.9014714721399792% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$314
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$270
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$226
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$198
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$185
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$165
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$141
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$135
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$105
Will Portugal qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$104

Top Losers

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-388
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$-244
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$-216
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-183
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$-178
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-176
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-170
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$-93
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$-78
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$-77

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.003
Sortino
0.002
HHI
165
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
19%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 678s — normal for humanCV 2.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.76
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)50.6%
Mid (20-55c)22.6%
High (>55c)26.9%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 6:29:03 PM28 trades$6919 min
4/30/2026, 9:14:18 PM4 trades$3372 min
2/15/2026, 10:53:45 PM6 trades$2723 min
5/8/2026, 5:57:20 PM8 trades$2589 min
4/30/2026, 4:34:30 PM29 trades$25422 min
2/15/2026, 10:05:45 PM3 trades$2425 min
4/11/2026, 11:07:53 PM7 trades$2291 min
4/30/2026, 4:22:08 PM10 trades$2167 min
5/6/2026, 5:26:19 PM7 trades$2156 min
5/3/2026, 11:02:26 AM2 trades$2000 min
5/10/2026, 7:06:45 AM4 trades$1920 min
5/6/2026, 3:07:55 PM7 trades$1923 min
4/28/2026, 9:06:44 PM3 trades$1891 min
5/7/2026, 2:13:44 PM9 trades$1743 min
5/7/2026, 1:45:20 PM2 trades$1660 min
5/4/2026, 11:12:32 AM1 trades$1650 min
5/10/2026, 1:37:52 AM2 trades$1611 min
5/6/2026, 7:12:55 PM8 trades$1571 min
5/6/2026, 5:14:40 PM4 trades$1552 min
4/18/2026, 6:21:42 PM2 trades$1500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
06-13
07-13
12-25
02-09
04-11
05-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.76/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.6 / M22.6 / H26.9