@PapiTrump

#156,42542

0x7dce7484e0c714739bb33dde93dd02e68274981e

~35d· 323 markets · 754 tradesVol: $58,2422026-09-26 06:58:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (164/291)13.2/20
1.02x (win $1,584 / loss $1,547)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2755.2/15
Sortino 0.3763.8/10
$+0.0048 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 146 (291 markets)10/10
18/32 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 95% of peak ($302 / $319)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+382
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#46,193$371Vol: $33,953
🎭 CULTURE#797,697$-162Vol: $12,087
🏛️ POLITICS#1,570,563$-202Vol: $7,170
💰 FINANCE#45,598$16Vol: $1,193
📈 ECONOMICS#147,015$0Vol: $964
⚽ SPORTS#92,103$175Vol: $542
📢 MENTIONS#8,430$58Vol: $452
💻 TECH#226,249$-5Vol: $84

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$240
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$58,242
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
323
total markets
Trades
566B / 188S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-127
Vol: $1,913
Month
$271
Vol: $20,741
All Time
$240
Vol: $58,242

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
164W / 127L events
Realized PnL
$382
Win Rate
56%
164W / 127L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $237 (0.6191721360771907% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$72
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?$67
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$66
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$65
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$63
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$53
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$42

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$-283
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-161
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$-61
Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?$-51
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$-50
Will Michigan be the tipping point state?$-48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$-45
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$-43
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$-39

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.014
Sortino
0.015
HHI
132
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
17%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
27.5m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.33
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.9%
Mid (20-55c)39%
High (>55c)48.1%

Sessions

#12
9/9/2026, 1:00:03 AM29 trades$4516 min
1/10/2026, 9:12:08 PM7 trades$4355 min
9/9/2026, 2:47:06 AM47 trades$39610 min
9/14/2026, 5:00:21 AM7 trades$3920 min
1/14/2026, 9:05:00 AM22 trades$37323 min
1/11/2026, 5:41:04 AM7 trades$35413 min
1/9/2026, 8:59:02 AM19 trades$33316 min
1/8/2026, 6:39:04 PM13 trades$33022 min
1/9/2026, 4:19:28 AM6 trades$3117 min
11/6/2024, 5:21:45 AM14 trades$30216 min
1/8/2026, 6:11:44 PM6 trades$3027 min
1/10/2026, 2:12:40 AM20 trades$26824 min
1/9/2026, 9:33:48 AM15 trades$26111 min
1/9/2026, 8:50:56 AM4 trades$2433 min
1/10/2026, 3:38:32 AM14 trades$23917 min
1/9/2026, 7:24:54 AM2 trades$2080 min
1/10/2026, 7:46:14 AM23 trades$20322 min
1/8/2026, 8:53:43 AM11 trades$19914 min
11/11/2024, 8:44:53 PM5 trades$1803 min
9/9/2026, 5:15:43 AM16 trades$1713 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
11-29
12-26
02-10
01-09
01-14
09-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 241 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.9 / M39 / H48.1