mooseborzoi

@mooseborzoi

#3,077,00722

0x84cfffc3f16dcc353094de30d4a45226eccd2f63

~97d· 2682 markets · 1843844 tradesVol: $336,016,3632026-08-05 23:46:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (3109/7113)6.9/20
0.84x (win $37,269,731 / loss $44,162,060)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8620/15
Sortino -1.0250/10
$-4.1237 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 29 (7113 markets)10/10
238/500 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 303% of peak ($7,811,517 / $2,576,549)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
70% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Whale
$1,671,411 invested
High Roller
$16,714/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,884,875$-7,437,467Vol: $331,278,575
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,149$-11,453Vol: $423,349
CRYPTO#1,401,614$-54Vol: $324

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,498,264
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$336,016,363
Total Redeem
$2,193,766
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2682
total markets
Trades
17269B / 19804S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~97d

Periods

#2
Today
$960
Vol: $390
Week
$-1,367
Vol: $934,365
Month
$250,009
Vol: $1,920,430
All Time
$-7,498,264
Vol: $336,016,363

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
3109W / 4004L events
Realized PnL
$-7,686,299
Win Rate
44%
3109W / 4004L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$11,988
Avg Loss
$-11,263

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,002,605 (0.39064380173799296% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$1,098,311
Spurs vs. Knicks$958,308
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$945,987
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$907,533
Knicks vs. Spurs$869,422
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$867,112
Knicks vs. Spurs$718,641
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$615,693
76ers vs. Celtics$615,367
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$581,054

Top Losers

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-2,568,810
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-951,610
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$-937,475
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-871,869
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-808,682
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-780,607
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$-715,561
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-685,712
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$-496,058
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$-483,024

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.045
Sortino
-0.040
HHI
75148
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.083
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
80%
Top-5 markets
341%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18438.4
Very active
Markets / Day
26.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
8.2m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
36 min
Avg Trades / Session
135.9

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 7.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock18438 trades/day — automation27 markets/day — mass coverage1% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
257.53
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.5%
Mid (20-55c)54.8%
High (>55c)29.7%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 2:31:02 PM40 trades$86,7012 min
6/25/2026, 10:34:11 PM697 trades$77,721110 min
6/14/2026, 8:59:52 PM794 trades$47,276174 min
7/15/2026, 9:03:53 PM162 trades$39,54063 min
6/14/2026, 4:22:43 PM17 trades$39,0332 min
6/20/2026, 11:08:32 PM24 trades$31,7262 min
6/11/2026, 12:44:46 AM218 trades$31,54137 min
6/18/2026, 10:16:20 PM462 trades$29,171136 min
6/17/2026, 9:51:29 PM280 trades$28,49575 min
6/20/2026, 11:15:55 PM6 trades$28,3775 min
6/19/2026, 2:28:20 PM27 trades$27,32011 min
6/7/2026, 6:29:46 PM24 trades$27,2890 min
6/3/2026, 10:53:42 PM222 trades$25,83499 min
5/13/2026, 11:45:10 AM35 trades$22,9546 min
5/9/2026, 3:47:30 PM13 trades$22,73412 min
6/24/2026, 8:53:11 PM115 trades$22,19831 min
6/16/2026, 11:35:26 PM506 trades$22,097102 min
7/5/2026, 9:20:58 PM7 trades$21,9270 min
6/26/2026, 9:05:17 PM276 trades$21,90176 min
7/9/2026, 6:57:25 PM296 trades$21,81492 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-06-11 00:10:00
2026-06-14 20:00:00
2026-06-18 23:05:00
2026-06-24 23:10:00
2026-07-02 23:30:00
2026-07-21 10:30:00
2026-08-05 01:45:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 257.53/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L15.5 / M54.8 / H29.7