@stupid22

#3,187,66939

0x8afa03dd6974e44d00c4d14dcccb00c0ddf6adb6

~228d· 363 markets · 44355 tradesVol: $25,459,4382026-10-08 00:25:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (258/293)20/20
0.82x (win $1,003,014 / loss $1,218,783)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4270/15
Sortino -0.4680/10
$-0.0119 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 699 (293 markets)9/10
111/127 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 2538% of peak ($923,899 / $36,400)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 88%
DCA Master
Avg 139.8 entries/market
Whale
$18,194,087 invested
Consistent
111/127 profitable days
High Roller
$78,762/day
Win Streak
33 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,658,795$-113,586Vol: $22,029,346
🌤️ WEATHER#305,320$-5,002Vol: $1,223,890
💰 FINANCE#593$8,909Vol: $1,184,383
📈 ECONOMICS#1,077$4,968Vol: $467,930
₿ CRYPTO#22,468$1,644Vol: $156,709
🎭 CULTURE#822,665$-1,373Vol: $141,489
⚽ SPORTS#1,400,640$-12Vol: $3,305

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-101,112
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,459,438
Total Redeem
$200
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
363
total markets
Trades
31216B / 13139S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~228d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2,127
Vol: $92,271
Week
$32,864
Vol: $668,761
Month
$57,005
Vol: $3,292,272
All Time
$-101,112
Vol: $25,459,438

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
244W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-106,852
Win Rate
87%
244W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$3,888
Avg Loss
$-38,087

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $523,858 (4.9026515113583855% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$198,263
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$163,263
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$162,331
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$144,416
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$57,691
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$41,829
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$31,132
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$21,110
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$20,597
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$17,905

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-360,189
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-328,753
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-157,433
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-152,859
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-104,569
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-72,053
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-7,074
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-6,652
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$-6,412
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$-4,494

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.022
Sortino
-0.009
HHI
917
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.1%
Top-5 markets
58.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
192.0
Very active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.8m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
46 min
Avg Trades / Session
82.2

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 4.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock192 trades/day — automation1.6 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
139.79
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)2.9%
High (>55c)96.2%

Sessions

#12
9/23/2026, 4:11:04 PM55 trades$337,52612 min
6/17/2026, 7:16:58 AM34 trades$243,0089 min
6/20/2026, 11:50:16 AM219 trades$214,278162 min
4/24/2026, 11:47:20 AM50 trades$210,95518 min
5/6/2026, 10:40:00 AM37 trades$190,91810 min
4/16/2026, 7:49:08 AM104 trades$183,72411 min
4/5/2026, 3:53:59 AM138 trades$178,44380 min
5/2/2026, 3:29:46 AM103 trades$155,6916 min
4/4/2026, 1:49:31 PM147 trades$155,214138 min
5/24/2026, 12:28:02 AM67 trades$147,16723 min
6/26/2026, 3:24:38 AM261 trades$146,628186 min
7/2/2026, 3:32:40 PM100 trades$133,97124 min
4/3/2026, 1:40:27 PM159 trades$130,994113 min
4/3/2026, 7:18:17 AM372 trades$122,602158 min
5/6/2026, 3:34:01 PM46 trades$119,6179 min
4/3/2026, 10:01:53 AM346 trades$117,753176 min
4/7/2026, 10:33:53 PM55 trades$115,0859 min
9/25/2026, 6:41:12 AM18 trades$109,2393 min
6/9/2026, 3:09:31 PM17 trades$107,80111 min
3/29/2026, 6:54:42 AM6 trades$105,4334 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
03-11
04-04
05-17
07-21
08-26
09-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 139.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.9 / M2.9 / H96.2