@MarbleTech

#440,86915

0x8cfb5394175c34b2cb3dd049d00879ccac026925

~14d· 30 markets · 54 tradesVol: $1,0082026-09-28 02:11:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (9/27)1.7/20
0.77x (win $53 / loss $69)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1190/15
Sortino -4.0430/10
$-0.2013 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 814 (27 markets)8.4/10
6/12 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($29 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+12
Contrarian
94% entries < $0.55

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#251,782$14Vol: $1,008

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,008
Total Redeem
$167
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
32B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$12
Vol: $182
Month
$8
Vol: $370
All Time
$14
Vol: $1,008

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
9W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$12
Win Rate
33%
9W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27 (2.2269043760129663% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)$17
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)$6
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)$5
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$5
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)$5
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)$5
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$5
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)$4
Spread: Magic (-2.5)$3

Top Losers

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)$-12
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)$-6
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)$-6
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)$-5
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)$-5
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)$-5
Spread: Senators (-1.5)$-5
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)$-4
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)$-4
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.156
Sortino
-0.297
HHI
346
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.222
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
25.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.5h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.34
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5377s — normal for humanCV 0.34 — uniform order sizes15% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.78
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)90.6%
High (>55c)6.2%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 9:20:12 PM2 trades$390 min
6/7/2026, 6:43:51 PM2 trades$110 min
6/13/2026, 7:08:51 PM2 trades$110 min
6/19/2026, 3:10:14 PM2 trades$90 min
5/3/2026, 3:52:22 AM2 trades$80 min
9/8/2026, 7:42:31 PM2 trades$80 min
3/31/2026, 11:25:29 PM3 trades$70 min
3/31/2026, 10:25:21 PM2 trades$60 min
3/31/2026, 10:44:33 PM2 trades$60 min
5/2/2026, 2:23:08 PM2 trades$60 min
5/2/2026, 4:17:40 PM2 trades$60 min
5/13/2026, 2:11:10 PM2 trades$60 min
9/8/2026, 1:26:10 PM2 trades$60 min
9/9/2026, 12:34:15 PM2 trades$60 min
3/31/2026, 3:26:57 PM2 trades$50 min
3/31/2026, 3:07:01 PM2 trades$50 min
4/24/2026, 4:24:02 AM2 trades$50 min
4/27/2026, 9:44:36 AM2 trades$50 min
4/28/2026, 5:53:40 AM2 trades$50 min
5/2/2026, 3:26:54 PM2 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-24
04-27
05-02
05-13
06-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.78/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.1 / M90.6 / H6.2