@ButterflyKnife
#3,034,088260x8feb17cb6a7ac5e58425e7123d9796bfc21263fc
~169d· 506 markets · 2672 tradesVol: $582,4022026-09-06 12:32:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (263/497)11.5/20
0.64x (win $30,170 / loss $47,069)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1250/15
Sortino -2.3670/10
$-0.1252 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 142 (497 markets)10/10
75/152 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 4291% of peak ($20,800 / $485)0/10
Badges
6Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market
Whale
$134,933 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders
Categories
8⚽ SPORTS#73,088$305Vol: $320,542
₿ CRYPTO#1,578,743$-231Vol: $6,635
🏛️ POLITICS#1,538,425$-105Vol: $4,703
📢 MENTIONS#88,885$-1Vol: $2,153
📈 ECONOMICS#12,976$96Vol: $920
💰 FINANCE#625,934$-50Vol: $600
💻 TECH#76,237$0Vol: $469
🎭 CULTURE#747,946$-27Vol: $100
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,728
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$582,402
Total Redeem
$18
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
506
total markets
Trades
1830B / 842S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~169d
Periods
#2Today
$62
Vol: $820
Week
$-325
Vol: $820
Month
$-355
Vol: $8,477
All Time
$-1,728
Vol: $582,402
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
263W / 234L events
Realized PnL
$-1,895
Win Rate
53%
263W / 234L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$115
Avg Loss
$-206
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,310 (4.38426189722486% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,444
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs$2,673
Hornets vs. Celtics$2,193
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$1,048
Knicks vs. Jazz$788
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$756
Spurs vs. Knicks$594
Pistons vs. Hornets$575
Will Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?$513
Rockets vs. Kings$491
Top Losers
Spurs vs. Knicks$-7,157
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers$-4,694
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs$-4,510
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$-3,536
Nuggets vs. Spurs$-3,108
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5$-1,787
Pistons vs. Magic$-1,400
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)$-1,205
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?$-1,060
Raptors vs. Kings$-949
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.111
Sortino
-0.095
HHI
167
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.119
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
19.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 362s — normal for humanCV 3.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.52
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.6%
Mid (20-55c)39%
High (>55c)49.4%
Sessions
#122/15/2026, 11:14:25 AM3 trades$5,4231 min
2/22/2026, 3:20:16 AM1 trades$4,5100 min
3/12/2026, 4:44:29 AM1 trades$3,5110 min
3/13/2026, 2:57:49 AM11 trades$3,3972 min
3/12/2026, 3:20:53 AM5 trades$3,1630 min
3/12/2026, 4:09:29 AM12 trades$3,1630 min
3/5/2026, 2:35:31 AM1 trades$3,0900 min
2/14/2026, 11:49:41 AM1 trades$2,7590 min
2/21/2026, 1:37:20 AM6 trades$2,7220 min
2/15/2026, 10:25:45 AM16 trades$2,6821 min
2/13/2026, 12:26:47 PM1 trades$2,5700 min
3/11/2026, 5:21:11 AM1 trades$2,5310 min
2/12/2026, 9:34:53 PM11 trades$2,5097 min
2/14/2026, 10:09:59 AM1 trades$2,3970 min
3/12/2026, 2:02:37 AM8 trades$2,3801 min
1/19/2026, 7:21:20 AM10 trades$2,3745 min
2/12/2026, 12:00:29 PM6 trades$2,3500 min
2/11/2026, 3:57:49 AM8 trades$2,3482 min
2/17/2026, 8:26:01 PM44 trades$2,33842 min
2/12/2026, 7:50:23 AM1 trades$2,3200 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
12-28
01-31
02-27
05-05
06-24
08-10
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 141 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.6 / M39 / H49.4