erFiodena

@erFiodena

#99,86671

0x961b2866b349bad732c6fce081af9090be4d2b00

~33d· 68 markets · 205 tradesVol: $42,6912026-10-03 20:38:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (17/50)2/20
2.89x (win $1,552 / loss $537)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.42715/15
Sortino 19.92710/10
$+0.6391 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1053 (50 markets)7.2/10
9/23 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($279 / $1,293)9.7/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+316
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

9
📈 ECONOMICS#656,108$-40Vol: $10,755
🏛️ POLITICS#29,903$427Vol: $7,679
🌤️ WEATHER#8,235$75Vol: $6,813
📢 MENTIONS#5,195$131Vol: $6,793
🎭 CULTURE#786,299$-92Vol: $3,622
💻 TECH#6,226$104Vol: $2,275
💰 FINANCE#586,071$-12Vol: $1,923
⚽ SPORTS#141,687$69Vol: $1,329
₿ CRYPTO#310,997$3Vol: $663

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$660
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,691
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
68
total markets
Trades
154B / 51S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$98
Vol: $415
Week
$93
Vol: $3,622
Month
$317
Vol: $16,018
All Time
$660
Vol: $42,691

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
17W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$316
Win Rate
34%
17W / 33L
Profit Factor
2.89x
Avg Win
$91
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,283 (4.064660224932679% of PnL)

Top Winners

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$1,087
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$124
FDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?$72
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?$40
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?$32
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$25
Will Trump say "Obama" this week?$20
World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe$18

Top Losers

Will Neymar score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-90
World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane$-78
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$-72
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?$-70
Will Trump praise Hillary Clinton by May 31, 2026?$-38
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$-36
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by June 30?$-30
FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate?$-27
Will "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?$-15
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" this week?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.175
Sortino
1.055
HHI
432
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.769
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.2%
Top-5 markets
36.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
57.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3437s — normal for humanCV 1.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.1%
Mid (20-55c)29.9%
High (>55c)35.1%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 11:37:09 PM21 trades$4671 min
6/12/2026, 9:56:58 PM7 trades$2141 min
6/5/2026, 11:33:31 PM2 trades$1530 min
6/5/2026, 10:33:03 AM7 trades$1211 min
6/11/2026, 5:46:13 AM3 trades$1050 min
6/2/2026, 9:09:18 AM4 trades$1023 min
6/28/2026, 11:37:40 PM2 trades$820 min
6/26/2026, 4:01:23 PM4 trades$800 min
6/11/2026, 6:48:40 AM1 trades$560 min
6/23/2026, 6:49:17 PM1 trades$540 min
6/10/2026, 9:35:12 PM2 trades$462 min
6/5/2026, 5:51:34 AM3 trades$430 min
7/11/2026, 2:38:41 AM1 trades$390 min
5/23/2026, 9:36:45 PM1 trades$380 min
6/13/2026, 8:17:31 PM3 trades$370 min
6/20/2026, 2:54:29 PM2 trades$340 min
6/5/2026, 4:18:16 PM1 trades$330 min
6/5/2026, 9:29:58 PM3 trades$300 min
6/11/2026, 10:08:12 PM5 trades$292 min
6/12/2026, 11:05:46 PM2 trades$290 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-19
06-05
06-10
06-13
06-18
06-23
06-30
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.38/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.1 / M29.9 / H35.1