@DonKarabas
#7,869710x973971ea55aa46261bce854c2ee8da83c97b159f
~454d· 601 markets · 154557 tradesVol: $54,646,4932026-10-02 21:50:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (216/544)4.9/20
1.50x (win $13,631 / loss $9,058)8.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.25815/15
Sortino 3.69710/10
$+0.2607 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 205 (544 markets)10/10
116/269 profitable days (43%)3.3/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($1,535 / $6,108)9/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+19,791
Lottery Player
97% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
4% sells
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#2,677$15,449Vol: $23,548,421
💰 FINANCE#467$11,059Vol: $20,358,217
📈 ECONOMICS#2,016$1,949Vol: $6,866,991
🎭 CULTURE#826,243$-11,098Vol: $2,458,780
₿ CRYPTO#15,615$2,742Vol: $928,359
⚽ SPORTS#1,773,384$-189Vol: $390,484
💻 TECH#260,261$-65Vol: $35,714
🌤️ WEATHER#11,706$37Vol: $18,983
📢 MENTIONS#40,774$1Vol: $267
Overview
#1Net PnL
$19,911
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,646,493
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
601
total markets
Trades
8618B / 6864S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~454d
Periods
#2Today
$60
Vol: $7,881
Week
$176
Vol: $125,830
Month
$1,756
Vol: $2,307,443
All Time
$19,911
Vol: $54,646,493
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
433W / 435L events
Realized PnL
$19,791
Win Rate
50%
433W / 435L
Profit Factor
1.5x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-28
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,569 (0.2813904698767907% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$3,243
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,261
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?$1,065
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $48m opening weekend?$813
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$602
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?$517
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?$490
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?$478
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?$338
Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$324
Top Losers
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?$-671
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$-543
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$-458
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-435
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$-323
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross between $24m and $31m opening weekend?$-309
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day? $-286
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?$-256
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $30-35m?$-235
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $95m and $105m opening weekend?$-226
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.066
Sortino
0.161
HHI
172
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.273
Kelly %
18.8%
Half-Kelly
9.4%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
19.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
180.1
Very active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.4m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 270s — normal for humanCV 6.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock180 trades/day — automation0.7 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
28.51
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)97.3%
Mid (20-55c)1%
High (>55c)1.7%
Sessions
#127/4/2024, 6:57:40 AM3 trades$9390 min
8/26/2024, 10:34:39 PM6 trades$5606 min
1/24/2025, 6:37:09 AM1 trades$5290 min
4/28/2026, 1:26:38 PM11 trades$4450 min
11/23/2024, 1:59:51 PM23 trades$40429 min
9/11/2026, 9:41:07 AM5 trades$3700 min
8/5/2024, 3:21:47 AM11 trades$3482 min
8/16/2024, 3:00:27 PM2 trades$3450 min
9/10/2024, 2:14:34 PM1 trades$3380 min
7/15/2024, 5:50:05 PM3 trades$2960 min
7/28/2024, 11:44:31 PM4 trades$2900 min
8/23/2024, 7:17:31 PM2 trades$2885 min
9/29/2024, 7:03:43 AM1 trades$2870 min
10/25/2024, 2:14:30 PM2 trades$2821 min
11/24/2024, 3:18:51 AM12 trades$27825 min
7/18/2024, 7:50:40 AM6 trades$2670 min
4/11/2026, 7:30:07 PM4 trades$2030 min
1/22/2025, 2:20:37 PM2 trades$2001 min
2/1/2025, 10:59:58 AM3 trades$1961 min
9/10/2026, 9:50:36 PM6 trades$1880 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-23
09-01
10-30
01-02
08-17
02-23
06-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.51/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L97.3 / M1 / H1.7