@melody233
220x9940cfb316cc7dff5411a1ad6aef344d0adfb140
~95d· 187 markets · 2335 trades2026-10-08 00:27:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (86/170)10.3/20
0.51x (win $4,082 / loss $7,959)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1880/15
Sortino -2.4210/10
$-0.0094 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1553 (170 markets)4.7/10
35/61 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 950% of peak ($4,334 / $456)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+307
DCA Master
Avg 13.5 entries/market
Whale
$410,899 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$307
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$410,899
Total Redeem
$232
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
187
total markets
Trades
1126B / 1209S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
87W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$307
Win Rate
51%
87W / 83L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$47
Avg Loss
$-109
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,358 (7.669842921721032% of PnL)
Top Winners
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1,852
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$274
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO (BO3)$233
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$229
Solana all time high before 2026?$164
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$161
Will Bitcoin ETFs attract more flows in 2025 than in 2024?$113
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$81
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$77
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$65
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-3,530
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?$-1,026
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?$-750
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?$-385
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-294
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$-259
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$-191
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $-140
EWC Cs2: The MongolZ vs. Vitality$-121
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-116
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.114
Sortino
-0.086
HHI
1247
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.2%
Top-5 markets
63.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.8m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.3
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 2.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.5
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.9%
Mid (20-55c)6%
High (>55c)88.2%
Sessions
#121/15/2026, 1:28:42 PM73 trades$21,07646 min
10/17/2025, 7:34:31 AM28 trades$18,99414 min
10/17/2025, 4:56:15 AM15 trades$18,91416 min
1/8/2026, 6:31:07 AM82 trades$18,18699 min
1/8/2026, 12:17:37 PM46 trades$16,10838 min
1/7/2026, 5:46:31 PM3 trades$14,0941 min
10/18/2025, 8:00:39 AM18 trades$11,6793 min
11/5/2025, 3:14:39 PM9 trades$11,66819 min
1/7/2026, 4:31:57 PM5 trades$11,0452 min
10/18/2025, 4:40:43 AM12 trades$10,6767 min
10/18/2025, 3:30:05 PM1 trades$10,0050 min
10/19/2025, 4:20:31 PM1 trades$10,0050 min
10/18/2025, 6:39:47 AM15 trades$9,8377 min
10/18/2025, 2:30:57 PM1 trades$9,8310 min
10/17/2025, 7:16:49 AM5 trades$9,4822 min
10/17/2025, 5:57:59 AM2 trades$9,4720 min
10/18/2025, 5:08:11 AM12 trades$9,3457 min
1/6/2026, 5:17:21 PM18 trades$8,79514 min
10/18/2025, 7:40:13 AM21 trades$8,7868 min
1/8/2025, 8:23:03 AM7 trades$8,6855 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-07
09-29
10-30
11-17
12-16
01-17
07-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 131 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.9 / M6 / H88.2