@reckoner
#145,321530x9a7bdfa2416bf85c7d90ff744296a1eedd1f62d9
~72d· 70 markets · 232 tradesVol: $7,8882026-10-08 03:44:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
79% (42/53)20/20
1.09x (win $451 / loss $415)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3236.1/15
Sortino 0.3373.4/10
$+0.0061 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 345 (53 markets)10/10
35/41 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 172% of peak ($314 / $183)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+287
Consistent
35/41 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#55,387$136Vol: $3,874
🎭 CULTURE#26,177$67Vol: $1,633
⚽ SPORTS#117,924$104Vol: $1,374
💻 TECH#255,085$-34Vol: $616
🌤️ WEATHER#36,462$3Vol: $176
Overview
#1Net PnL
$287
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,888
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
124B / 108S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d
Periods
#2Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$108
Vol: $516
Month
$138
Vol: $1,286
All Time
$287
Vol: $7,888
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
79%
41W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$287
Win Rate
79%
41W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-83
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $121 (0.420806912410285% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$45
Will Leon Goretzka join Al-Ittihad?$43
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$32
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$28
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$24
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$23
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$22
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$21
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?$13
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?$12
Top Losers
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-314
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$-50
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-21
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-20
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.017
Sortino
0.006
HHI
178
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
20.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1050s — normal for humanCV 1.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.68
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)8.1%
High (>55c)90.3%
Sessions
#129/30/2026, 7:51:21 PM15 trades$4132 min
12/29/2025, 4:16:43 PM1 trades$3960 min
9/14/2026, 9:51:21 AM5 trades$2872 min
12/15/2025, 11:28:37 AM1 trades$2480 min
12/10/2025, 10:14:34 PM1 trades$2000 min
9/2/2026, 8:36:24 PM9 trades$2004 min
3/23/2026, 5:43:01 PM2 trades$2001 min
3/11/2026, 5:59:45 PM3 trades$1983 min
3/16/2026, 4:23:09 PM3 trades$1894 min
9/17/2026, 9:42:33 PM9 trades$1770 min
11/11/2025, 8:08:00 PM4 trades$1754 min
2/20/2026, 6:24:48 PM2 trades$1552 min
9/25/2026, 8:31:41 PM3 trades$1550 min
4/2/2026, 8:23:33 AM4 trades$1531 min
6/8/2026, 4:45:09 PM4 trades$1501 min
6/24/2026, 9:58:41 PM4 trades$1500 min
7/21/2026, 1:30:40 PM2 trades$1500 min
4/11/2026, 12:21:31 AM2 trades$1480 min
9/20/2026, 2:30:15 PM2 trades$1380 min
2/12/2026, 11:29:37 AM1 trades$1300 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-10
12-29
02-19
04-13
05-27
08-07
08-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M8.1 / H90.3