@redk-001

#97,64122

0x9e80380d5d0d2fca567d889b6705594cd71f505e

~37d· 47 markets · 145 tradesVol: $78,9302026-09-20 22:55:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (20/43)8.3/20
0.84x (win $1,951 / loss $2,317)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0060/15
Sortino -1.4970/10
$-0.0605 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 934 (43 markets)7.8/10
15/29 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 453% of peak ($1,596 / $352)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+760

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#87,401$212Vol: $44,350
₿ CRYPTO#53,349$329Vol: $21,874
🏛️ POLITICS#37,642$286Vol: $11,899
🎭 CULTURE#55,081$17Vol: $563
💰 FINANCE#637,650$-78Vol: $144
📈 ECONOMICS#634,464$-19Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$747
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$78,930
Total Redeem
$226
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
62B / 83S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$22
Vol: $0
Week
$-12
Vol: $0
Month
$-24
Vol: $3,479
All Time
$747
Vol: $78,930

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
20W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$760
Win Rate
47%
20W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$98
Avg Loss
$-116

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,306 (1.7177935896255574% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$878
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?$236
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$192
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?$144
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 30-January 5?$106
Trump approval Up or Down this week?$61
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$53
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?$45
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?$42
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?$40

Top Losers

Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-578
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-498
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-141
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?$-125
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?$-106
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?$-100
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$-100
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?$-100
Trump approval Up or Down this week?$-100
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 8?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.052
Sortino
-0.073
HHI
810
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.7%
Top-5 markets
50.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 312s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.79
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.3%
Mid (20-55c)35.5%
High (>55c)53.2%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 10:58:26 AM13 trades$1,3331 min
7/8/2026, 9:53:13 AM4 trades$1,1560 min
6/30/2026, 6:51:17 AM5 trades$9911 min
7/16/2026, 6:11:50 AM2 trades$8560 min
7/5/2026, 7:48:04 AM5 trades$7171 min
7/5/2026, 8:40:43 AM9 trades$6010 min
2/5/2026, 11:12:49 AM3 trades$3758 min
4/20/2026, 9:36:16 PM6 trades$3730 min
6/13/2026, 11:10:40 PM8 trades$3710 min
12/23/2025, 1:01:15 PM1 trades$3040 min
5/23/2026, 10:11:11 PM10 trades$2490 min
1/3/2026, 3:07:41 AM3 trades$2306 min
8/15/2026, 5:51:43 PM5 trades$2270 min
2/7/2026, 6:14:33 PM1 trades$2000 min
2/5/2026, 9:06:39 AM1 trades$2000 min
3/14/2026, 7:22:33 AM1 trades$2000 min
6/14/2026, 8:02:12 PM2 trades$1960 min
2/2/2026, 3:16:26 PM1 trades$1610 min
1/31/2026, 9:23:34 PM1 trades$1420 min
1/10/2026, 11:22:44 AM6 trades$12110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-15
12-28
01-03
01-23
02-02
03-14
06-30
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 185 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.3 / M35.5 / H53.2