@38741100…7387

#1,74262

0xa49b6ea0a604c581f2a9569db42c192b1c487054

~642d· 9760 markets · 414464 tradesVol: $21,532,3422026-08-06 06:23:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (4092/9627)6.3/20
1.16x (win $85,211 / loss $73,632)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.75615/15
Sortino 3.95010/10
$+0.0565 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 20 (9627 markets)10/10
225/500 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($1,706 / $13,167)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+111,726
Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
4% sells
Whale
$204,768 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#93$66,774Vol: $16,421,928
🌤️ WEATHER#47$31,122Vol: $3,640,721
💰 FINANCE#359$14,922Vol: $1,222,825
CRYPTO#64,549$204Vol: $137,269
🏛️ POLITICS#1,622,125$-1,478Vol: $39,362
📈 ECONOMICS#4,888$474Vol: $30,428
💻 TECH#250,753$-115Vol: $27,456
SPORTS#1,775,083$-331Vol: $7,412
📢 MENTIONS#44,342$1Vol: $121

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$111,516
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,532,342
Total Redeem
$6,542
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9760
total markets
Trades
25217B / 16137S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~642d

Periods

#2
Today
$-143
Vol: $3,102
Week
$-638
Vol: $147,963
Month
$-128
Vol: $184,907
All Time
$111,516
Vol: $21,532,342

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
7442W / 10048L events
Realized PnL
$111,726
Win Rate
43%
7442W / 10048L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,827 (0.06110209848293974% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$2,375
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$2,348
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$2,104
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1,787
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1,742
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1,694
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1,475
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$1,428
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?$1,158
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1,102

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-855
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-591
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?$-533
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of April?$-490
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-454
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-448
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-434
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-396
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-383
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-381

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.092
Sortino
0.191
HHI
28
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.058
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
9.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
497.6
Very active
Markets / Day
11.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.4m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 310s — normal for humanCV 7.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock498 trades/day — automation12 markets/day — mass coverage9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.26
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52.5%
Mid (20-55c)19.2%
High (>55c)28.3%

Sessions

#12
4/16/2026, 12:04:30 PM2 trades$5,8010 min
2/14/2026, 9:59:21 AM2 trades$4,1202 min
2/11/2026, 8:34:05 AM1 trades$3,6750 min
4/14/2026, 12:12:03 PM10 trades$2,3910 min
5/13/2026, 9:40:06 AM15 trades$1,87011 min
5/14/2026, 12:44:06 PM10 trades$1,3219 min
4/23/2026, 10:19:08 AM6 trades$1,3201 min
2/28/2026, 6:21:01 PM1 trades$1,2440 min
7/14/2026, 7:00:13 AM9 trades$1,0990 min
4/28/2026, 10:54:04 AM7 trades$1,0731 min
5/13/2026, 1:13:10 PM29 trades$1,01827 min
5/6/2026, 6:35:03 PM20 trades$1,01011 min
4/30/2026, 2:38:12 PM4 trades$1,0024 min
4/30/2026, 6:41:48 PM4 trades$9091 min
3/24/2026, 6:13:13 PM1 trades$9000 min
3/30/2026, 11:16:52 AM1 trades$7800 min
11/19/2025, 11:38:47 PM4 trades$7513 min
4/24/2026, 9:29:06 AM27 trades$7026 min
4/23/2026, 12:08:14 PM51 trades$6490 min
2/27/2026, 7:59:11 PM2 trades$5882 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-28
05-15
08-31
11-25
02-16
05-11
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.26/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.5 / M19.2 / H28.3