@tinaclayton

#1,248,56040

0xa9c4736e9a9404d106b72a1b0e17bbe678494ff4

~37d· 44 markets · 59 tradesVol: $9,0292026-10-03 03:52:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (39/43)20/20
0.83x (win $13 / loss $16)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1380/15
Sortino -1.2140/10
$-0.0008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 330 (43 markets)10/10
33/36 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 271% of peak ($8 / $3)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 91%
Consistent
33/36 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#892,481$-2Vol: $8,506
🏛️ POLITICS#750,594$-0Vol: $414
💰 FINANCE#140,583$1Vol: $89
📈 ECONOMICS#224,377$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,029
Total Redeem
$345
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
44B / 15S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $22
All Time
$-1
Vol: $9,029

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
38W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-1
Win Rate
90%
38W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5 (6.252873563218391% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?$2
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$2
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?$1
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?$1
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$1
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?$0
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 November 17-23?$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on January 14?$-5
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$-5
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$-4
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.059
Sortino
-0.066
HHI
341
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
21.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7028s — normal for humanCV 0.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.37
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)2.3%
High (>55c)95.5%

Sessions

#12
7/13/2026, 11:55:25 AM3 trades$2060 min
11/22/2025, 12:35:13 PM1 trades$1260 min
12/26/2025, 6:22:37 PM1 trades$1250 min
12/6/2025, 10:26:25 AM1 trades$1240 min
12/29/2025, 1:10:45 PM1 trades$1240 min
5/11/2026, 3:34:16 PM2 trades$1230 min
11/25/2025, 11:35:47 AM1 trades$1230 min
10/22/2025, 11:34:01 AM1 trades$1220 min
3/6/2026, 3:13:43 PM1 trades$1220 min
11/14/2025, 9:58:56 AM1 trades$1200 min
2/13/2026, 1:22:15 PM1 trades$1200 min
11/7/2025, 8:28:45 AM1 trades$1200 min
3/26/2026, 3:44:57 PM1 trades$1200 min
10/29/2025, 2:14:09 PM1 trades$1200 min
2/25/2026, 2:08:54 PM1 trades$1200 min
2/20/2026, 1:27:48 PM1 trades$1190 min
10/27/2025, 10:09:33 AM1 trades$1190 min
3/30/2026, 10:09:06 AM1 trades$1180 min
9/17/2025, 9:02:04 AM1 trades$1170 min
10/24/2025, 1:04:31 PM1 trades$1160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-17
10-27
12-06
01-16
02-25
04-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 100 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M2.3 / H95.5