@Liltrek

#436,57918

0xa9cfa66515ba54f181584609ba573a2d90af6b81

~48d· 77 markets · 100 tradesVol: $21,4922026-10-03 22:43:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (35/75)8.3/20
0.59x (win $21 / loss $36)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5060/15
Sortino -1.8630/10
$-0.0048 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2270 (75 markets)1.2/10
29/44 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 252% of peak ($27 / $11)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+15
Consistent
29/44 profitable days
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#247,874$15Vol: $17,085
💻 TECH#216,937$-2Vol: $1,724
🎭 CULTURE#164,173$1Vol: $1,233
🏛️ POLITICS#380,417$0Vol: $1,153
📈 ECONOMICS#237,594$0Vol: $227
₿ CRYPTO#414,449$1Vol: $62
💰 FINANCE#302,933$0Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$15
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,492
Total Redeem
$6
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
77
total markets
Trades
84B / 16S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $9
Month
$30
Vol: $147
All Time
$15
Vol: $21,492

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
35W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$15
Win Rate
47%
35W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19 (1.3178082191780824% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?$17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$2
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET$1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in November?$0
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?$0
Will Solana reach $350 in October?$0
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?$0

Top Losers

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$-22
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-6
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-3
Will Nicolas Jackson be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$-2
Will Sergei Bobrikov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?$-1
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-1
Will Sevilla FC win La Liga?$-1
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-0
Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.044
HHI
2270
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
38.2%
Half-Kelly
19.1%
Top-1 market
30%
Top-5 markets
93.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5400s — normal for humanCV 4.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.31
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.1%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)91.7%

Sessions

#12
9/23/2025, 12:40:52 PM2 trades$1,0372 min
9/23/2025, 5:23:30 PM2 trades$1,0361 min
9/23/2025, 5:29:24 PM2 trades$1,0192 min
9/23/2025, 5:37:36 PM1 trades$8470 min
3/1/2025, 9:26:45 AM1 trades$6650 min
3/1/2025, 1:55:12 PM1 trades$6640 min
9/23/2025, 6:21:12 PM1 trades$1690 min
11/29/2025, 8:51:07 PM1 trades$980 min
4/23/2026, 1:37:20 PM1 trades$450 min
1/3/2026, 2:09:49 PM1 trades$320 min
3/9/2026, 9:27:07 AM1 trades$220 min
9/23/2025, 6:27:40 PM1 trades$210 min
10/17/2025, 8:15:39 PM1 trades$130 min
1/31/2026, 7:21:50 AM1 trades$110 min
10/24/2025, 8:50:33 PM1 trades$80 min
3/6/2026, 12:16:25 PM1 trades$60 min
1/31/2026, 8:51:50 AM1 trades$60 min
4/21/2025, 3:13:00 PM3 trades$60 min
9/26/2026, 9:52:44 AM3 trades$50 min
1/6/2025, 10:17:41 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-30
03-16
04-20
08-23
09-23
01-24
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.1 / M1.2 / H91.7