mark04

@mark04

#2,885,17539

0xafa23df1c3365ce1865a8614d840c318ac8991a5

~136d· 251 markets · 1057 tradesVol: $142,133 @mark2004a1143772026-09-30 13:31:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (204/244)20/20
0.44x (win $732 / loss $1,652)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0880/15
Sortino -1.0930/10
$-0.0174 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 737 (244 markets)8.8/10
93/104 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 323% of peak ($1,576 / $488)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Whale
$52,854 invested
Consistent
93/104 profitable days
Win Streak
32 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#299,831$-515Vol: $73,934
🏛️ POLITICS#43,626$212Vol: $26,659
₿ CRYPTO#66,350$167Vol: $26,466
⚽ SPORTS#1,807,641$-299Vol: $9,059
💰 FINANCE#45,326$16Vol: $4,198
🎭 CULTURE#47,878$21Vol: $1,038
💻 TECH#14,131$19Vol: $739
📈 ECONOMICS#169,122$0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-379
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$142,133
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
251
total markets
Trades
511B / 546S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~136d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$5
Vol: $0
Month
$-271
Vol: $9,441
All Time
$-379
Vol: $142,133

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
204W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-68
Win Rate
84%
204W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-97

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $220 (3.249889298892989% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?$106
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$67
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 11?$48
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$42
Prince Andrew mugshot released by February 28?$26
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$19
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in February 2026?$17
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$16
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$16

Top Losers

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 17?$-1,586
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?$-30
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 11?$-9
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April?$-7
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$-5
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$-4
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.057
Sortino
-0.018
HHI
131
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
16.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 330s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.33
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.2%
High (>55c)72.6%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2026, 2:04:01 AM20 trades$23,00911 min
4/17/2026, 1:30:38 PM5 trades$2,0540 min
5/16/2026, 1:31:42 AM14 trades$1,8215 min
4/17/2026, 1:10:32 PM4 trades$1,7070 min
6/9/2026, 2:24:09 AM16 trades$1,70512 min
4/11/2025, 3:30:31 AM1 trades$1,5940 min
6/12/2026, 7:29:36 AM12 trades$1,4936 min
6/10/2026, 2:45:10 AM5 trades$1,4430 min
5/9/2026, 1:37:56 AM61 trades$1,43510 min
5/15/2026, 7:56:30 AM4 trades$1,2842 min
5/14/2026, 12:28:31 PM12 trades$1,2772 min
6/29/2026, 2:09:50 AM2 trades$1,1100 min
6/13/2026, 8:15:34 AM13 trades$1,0773 min
4/17/2026, 2:11:06 PM2 trades$1,0440 min
5/12/2026, 12:25:53 AM2 trades$1,0200 min
4/11/2025, 9:30:15 AM1 trades$9950 min
5/10/2026, 6:51:54 AM22 trades$9636 min
6/19/2026, 3:32:59 AM2 trades$9100 min
6/7/2026, 6:05:00 AM9 trades$8621 min
11/9/2024, 5:26:47 AM4 trades$8107 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
02-22
04-30
10-17
02-10
05-16
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
40% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.2 / M2.2 / H72.6