@0x8a2109…8950

#2,360,11230

0xafaa81b76de6f6c63ded1ea37b432000f07f3bb4

~25d· 38 markets · 176 tradesVol: $12,3462026-10-08 03:43:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (15/29)10.9/20
1.02x (win $452 / loss $443)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0861.6/15
Sortino 0.1071.1/10
$+0.0068 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 790 (29 markets)8.6/10
13/27 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 203% of peak ($320 / $158)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#52,694$150Vol: $4,096
🎭 CULTURE#813,692$-406Vol: $2,942
📢 MENTIONS#5,677$113Vol: $2,046
🌤️ WEATHER#291,562$-127Vol: $1,243
💰 FINANCE#12,208$204Vol: $722
💻 TECH#252,703$-27Vol: $632
📈 ECONOMICS#18,132$50Vol: $549
₿ CRYPTO#910,681$-2Vol: $110
⚽ SPORTS#481,807$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-44
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,346
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
69B / 107S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$48
Vol: $281
Week
$-380
Vol: $8,550
Month
$-7
Vol: $12,086
All Time
$-44
Vol: $12,346

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
3W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-44
Win Rate
27%
3W / 8L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $358 (8.083671628326565% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?$200
Will Micron say "Agentic" during earnings call?$108
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?$51
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?$25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$13
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?$11
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 23?$11
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?$8
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?$6
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 27?$6

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?$-320
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?$-31
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$-23
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 19?$-17
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?$-15
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.004
Sortino
0.004
HHI
410
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
38.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.6h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7435s — normal for humanCV 0.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.45
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)29%
High (>55c)65.2%

Sessions

#12
10/8/2026, 12:05:26 AM5 trades$2680 min
9/27/2026, 6:33:15 AM7 trades$1790 min
9/30/2026, 1:12:09 AM5 trades$1680 min
9/29/2026, 1:11:51 AM4 trades$1310 min
10/3/2026, 11:47:34 PM3 trades$1180 min
9/10/2026, 7:09:13 AM4 trades$1130 min
9/30/2026, 8:53:39 PM4 trades$1120 min
10/4/2026, 4:43:01 AM2 trades$1050 min
9/26/2026, 4:59:29 PM4 trades$1051 min
10/4/2026, 11:32:16 PM2 trades$1020 min
9/29/2026, 7:31:18 PM4 trades$910 min
9/30/2026, 4:46:18 PM2 trades$830 min
9/13/2026, 6:49:54 PM8 trades$801 min
10/3/2026, 3:44:06 PM2 trades$770 min
9/27/2026, 6:30:38 PM2 trades$640 min
10/4/2026, 3:34:46 PM2 trades$630 min
9/21/2026, 12:32:49 AM5 trades$570 min
9/28/2026, 12:29:33 AM2 trades$550 min
9/18/2026, 7:50:36 AM6 trades$541 min
9/26/2026, 7:03:23 PM4 trades$510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-22 20:35:00
2026-09-11 03:59:00
2026-09-16 00:00:00
2026-09-20 23:59:00
2026-09-26 17:10:00
2026-09-30 13:30:00
2026-10-05 03:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
3.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.8 / M29 / H65.2