@0xb021b9…2950

#130,15861

0xb021b9821729ddbb3e46f63eb836c97d099e4aab

~14d· 27 markets · 57 tradesVol: $5,3942026-10-02 19:58:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (10/25)5/20
1.67x (win $650 / loss $390)10.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.28515/15
Sortino 11.65110/10
$+0.3032 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1393 (25 markets)5.5/10
5/12 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 62% of peak ($170 / $274)1.6/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+365
Contrarian
79% entries < $0.55

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#91,774$177Vol: $2,618
🏛️ POLITICS#40,941$239Vol: $1,608
🎭 CULTURE#770,673$-52Vol: $1,168

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$365
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,394
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
28B / 29S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Week
$-5
Vol: $613
Month
$-5
Vol: $613
All Time
$365
Vol: $5,394

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
10W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$365
Win Rate
40%
10W / 15L
Profit Factor
1.67x
Avg Win
$65
Avg Loss
$-39

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $429 (1.1749506795265234% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$299
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5$65
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees$64
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$43
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5$42
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$37
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5$35
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$31
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers$29
Wild vs. Maple Leafs$4

Top Losers

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$-100
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$-50
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5$-40
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds$-40
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5$-40
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs$-40
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-20
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$-20
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?$-20
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.215
Sortino
0.668
HHI
470
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.343
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
38.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 361s — normal for humanCV 0.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.88
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.3%
Mid (20-55c)64.3%
High (>55c)21.4%

Sessions

#12
10/1/2026, 4:08:15 PM12 trades$5741 min
4/28/2026, 6:00:22 PM2 trades$5560 min
3/1/2026, 2:07:29 AM1 trades$3790 min
6/4/2026, 4:25:19 PM4 trades$1221 min
5/19/2026, 3:41:52 PM6 trades$1193 min
5/8/2026, 6:49:41 PM2 trades$1000 min
1/26/2026, 1:53:51 PM1 trades$800 min
5/14/2026, 1:29:13 PM4 trades$782 min
6/4/2026, 4:19:06 PM2 trades$730 min
5/14/2026, 5:02:59 PM2 trades$530 min
5/15/2026, 1:02:47 PM2 trades$520 min
3/16/2026, 2:10:01 PM1 trades$500 min
1/19/2026, 10:02:10 PM2 trades$451 min
5/14/2026, 2:07:59 PM2 trades$430 min
5/13/2026, 5:32:10 PM2 trades$410 min
1/28/2026, 6:36:36 PM2 trades$400 min
5/15/2026, 12:56:46 PM2 trades$400 min
5/14/2026, 2:17:47 PM2 trades$340 min
5/8/2026, 6:43:41 PM2 trades$250 min
1/19/2026, 2:08:34 PM1 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
01-29
03-16
05-08
05-14
05-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 68 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.88/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L14.3 / M64.3 / H21.4