@TradingBear

#2,861,0053

0xb567608cc44dd0c2a083b3f9eea78e7d973e1575

~59d· 93 markets · 433 tradesVol: $107,8962026-09-21 19:32:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (22/71)0.5/20
0.26x (win $519 / loss $1,993)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.8400/15
Sortino -3.7920/10
$-0.4294 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2802 (71 markets)0/10
15/37 profitable days (41%)2.6/10
Max DD 3910% of peak ($1,585 / $41)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
75% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,751,115$-156Vol: $61,950
🌤️ WEATHER#297,225$-381Vol: $19,587
💰 FINANCE#644,699$-138Vol: $9,535
🎭 CULTURE#673,401$-8Vol: $5,410
₿ CRYPTO#43,238$433Vol: $4,184
🏛️ POLITICS#91,114$50Vol: $3,072
📈 ECONOMICS#583,173$-6Vol: $2,042
💻 TECH#25,929$5Vol: $1,245
📢 MENTIONS#171,798$-150Vol: $792

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-351
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$107,896
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
93
total markets
Trades
359B / 74S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$32
Vol: $0
Week
$94
Vol: $670
Month
$-274
Vol: $11,370
All Time
$-351
Vol: $107,896

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
22W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$-450
Win Rate
31%
22W / 49L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-41

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $329 (0.7320626306658956% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$158
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July?$94
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 in August?$77
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$35
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in August?$27
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 in August?$21
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in August?$18
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 16?$12
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 31 2026?$12
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$10

Top Losers

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,200
Will Trump say "Gay" in June?$-113
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?$-82
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?$-60
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-60
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-45
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5?$-30
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.198
Sortino
-0.158
HHI
1482
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.426
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.9%
Top-5 markets
61.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1187s — normal for humanCV 3.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.37
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)74.7%
Mid (20-55c)14.8%
High (>55c)10.6%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 9:59:40 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
8/4/2026, 9:27:41 AM2 trades$7000 min
4/23/2026, 8:48:22 AM9 trades$6000 min
7/7/2026, 8:03:49 PM2 trades$3990 min
9/2/2026, 1:30:28 PM12 trades$3980 min
9/1/2026, 9:36:25 PM4 trades$2310 min
1/14/2026, 2:49:00 PM1 trades$2300 min
1/17/2026, 12:02:02 PM1 trades$1890 min
1/12/2026, 5:56:35 PM1 trades$1350 min
7/7/2026, 8:13:10 PM2 trades$1300 min
1/23/2026, 7:39:06 AM1 trades$1280 min
1/17/2026, 12:20:00 PM1 trades$1220 min
1/21/2026, 11:04:04 PM1 trades$1220 min
9/3/2026, 10:44:43 PM3 trades$1084 min
7/7/2026, 8:36:35 PM2 trades$1000 min
8/7/2026, 1:30:48 PM6 trades$901 min
1/12/2026, 3:28:48 PM1 trades$900 min
7/15/2026, 3:01:05 PM2 trades$900 min
8/1/2026, 9:39:48 AM3 trades$820 min
1/20/2026, 2:11:30 PM1 trades$810 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-09
01-19
06-28
07-16
08-05
08-20
09-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 176 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.37/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L74.7 / M14.8 / H10.6