@alwayslatetotheparty

#87315

0xb687f00464e33934f5d591f224e71c3559ecaee5

~115d· 661 markets · 810689 tradesVol: $275,006,1962026-10-03 07:04:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

7% (45/688)0/20
0.77x (win $2,010,958 / loss $2,602,720)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0160/15
Sortino -2.9800/10
$-3.4568 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 681 (688 markets)9.1/10
23/44 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 6131% of peak ($603,464 / $9,842)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+513,678
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Whale
$171,186 invested
High Roller
$1,427/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#6,136$8,738Vol: $245,353,996
🏛️ POLITICS#274$181,096Vol: $19,869,318
📈 ECONOMICS#3,792$716Vol: $6,253,060
💻 TECH#605$3,144Vol: $1,277,895
💰 FINANCE#124$28,712Vol: $950,477
🎭 CULTURE#836$10,012Vol: $541,594
🌤️ WEATHER#291,489$-134Vol: $34,439

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$232,170
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$275,006,196
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
661
total markets
Trades
10899B / 5738S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$391
Vol: $434,591
Month
$-2,223
Vol: $2,656,510
All Time
$232,170
Vol: $275,006,196

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
7%
46W / 642L events
Realized PnL
$513,678
Win Rate
7%
46W / 642L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$44,688
Avg Loss
$-4,767

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,813,186 (3.529810456796935% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,597,426
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$145,186
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$70,574
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49,463
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$39,125
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$30,578
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15,375
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$14,180
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12,304
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$7,547

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-594,386
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-408,443
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-388,139
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-107,886
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-103,764
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-103,757
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-89,695
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-75,697
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-72,724
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-66,325

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.156
Sortino
-0.108
HHI
1731724
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.070
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
767.3%
Top-5 markets
2581.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6755.7
Very active
Markets / Day
5.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.9m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 246s — normal for humanCV 5.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6756 trades/day — automation5.5 markets/day — normal1% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
980.88
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)95.3%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 8:07:19 PM18 trades$10,96610 min
6/2/2026, 1:52:49 AM53 trades$10,22417 min
6/3/2026, 3:51:49 PM24 trades$9,8738 min
7/2/2026, 3:47:07 PM64 trades$8,15434 min
6/3/2026, 1:08:09 PM4 trades$6,3400 min
6/12/2026, 5:57:27 AM14 trades$6,09613 min
6/21/2026, 2:06:37 PM52 trades$6,08622 min
6/2/2026, 10:41:22 AM41 trades$5,94638 min
6/29/2026, 9:52:34 PM13 trades$5,3128 min
6/29/2026, 6:57:50 PM16 trades$5,0548 min
6/27/2026, 4:05:46 PM28 trades$4,91929 min
7/18/2026, 12:42:49 PM4 trades$4,6130 min
6/8/2026, 7:44:27 AM21 trades$3,40210 min
6/8/2026, 5:08:34 PM53 trades$3,37327 min
6/1/2026, 10:51:44 AM14 trades$3,1058 min
7/9/2026, 2:50:11 PM14 trades$3,0718 min
6/12/2026, 5:19:42 PM18 trades$2,96711 min
6/3/2026, 6:43:30 PM23 trades$2,87013 min
6/16/2026, 8:57:18 AM4 trades$2,6783 min
6/2/2026, 6:27:51 AM12 trades$2,49211 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-03-31 13:43:23
2026-06-26 16:00:00
2026-07-12 00:00:00
2026-07-28 16:00:00
2026-08-03 12:00:00
2026-09-02 03:59:00
2026-12-31 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 980.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.7 / M0 / H95.3