mapletreee

@mapletreee

#121,07762

0xbe876bed3db62b829b60cdccf0fec31dfae1fa14

~13d· 25 markets · 90 tradesVol: $43,8732026-10-08 02:53:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (5/23)0/20
8.72x (win $4,376 / loss $502)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.00315/15
Sortino 105.40710/10
$+0.8570 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3735 (23 markets)0/10
4/10 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($350 / $3,874)10/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+435
Lottery Player
86% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 9%

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,749,660$-136Vol: $18,147
🏛️ POLITICS#1,555,106$-132Vol: $10,955
₿ CRYPTO#38,703$568Vol: $8,716
🎭 CULTURE#760,958$-39Vol: $3,742
💰 FINANCE#13,389$175Vol: $1,859
🌤️ WEATHER#0$0Vol: $454

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$435
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,873
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
69B / 21S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-13
Vol: $2,561
Month
$-13
Vol: $2,561
All Time
$435
Vol: $43,873

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
5W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$435
Win Rate
22%
5W / 18L
Profit Factor
8.72x
Avg Win
$875
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,068 (9.35796108018586% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$3,057
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?$634
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$378
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?$235
Thunder vs. Timberwolves$73

Top Losers

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-200
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?$-50
Kings vs. 76ers$-50
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$-40
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?$-38
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 31?$-20
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 31?$-20
Grizzlies vs. Kings$-20
AWS service disrupted by January 31?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.397
Sortino
4.910
HHI
7719
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.598
Kelly %
16.3%
Half-Kelly
8.2%
Top-1 market
75.3%
Top-5 markets
132%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.2m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
28
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 2.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.26
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)85.5%
Mid (20-55c)10.1%
High (>55c)4.3%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 7:52:17 PM5 trades$1,8060 min
6/18/2026, 6:00:35 PM5 trades$1,6000 min
4/6/2026, 7:50:23 AM5 trades$1,5810 min
5/30/2026, 4:20:07 PM2 trades$1,5590 min
1/29/2026, 3:44:08 PM2 trades$6630 min
1/29/2026, 2:38:24 PM1 trades$3150 min
7/19/2026, 7:05:01 PM2 trades$2000 min
5/4/2026, 4:48:04 PM2 trades$1690 min
1/30/2026, 3:06:32 AM1 trades$1000 min
2/20/2026, 4:29:18 AM1 trades$1000 min
1/29/2026, 6:26:30 AM1 trades$800 min
10/2/2026, 9:16:51 AM5 trades$610 min
1/29/2026, 3:52:28 PM7 trades$607 min
1/29/2026, 5:16:54 PM1 trades$500 min
2/2/2026, 1:22:48 PM1 trades$500 min
1/29/2026, 2:49:24 PM2 trades$423 min
1/31/2026, 11:06:22 AM1 trades$400 min
1/31/2026, 11:11:38 AM2 trades$401 min
2/5/2026, 5:35:29 AM1 trades$200 min
10/2/2026, 9:11:11 AM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
01-30
01-31
02-02
02-05
02-20
05-04
05-30
07-10
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.26/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L85.5 / M10.1 / H4.3