Novalle

@Novalle

#2,757,32540

0xc021322a772aece041e83497c29a2dbb26b7511a

~136d· 296 markets · 552 tradesVol: $108,1922026-10-08 03:48:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (258/294)20/20
0.33x (win $137 / loss $420)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1680/15
Sortino -2.2110/10
$-0.0143 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 101 (294 markets)10/10
117/129 profitable days (91%)10/10
Max DD 5176% of peak ($340 / $7)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Consistent
117/129 profitable days
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#40,014$11Vol: $76,193
⚽ SPORTS#1,697,243$-89Vol: $19,088
₿ CRYPTO#271,740$5Vol: $9,980
🌤️ WEATHER#47,329$2Vol: $1,013
💰 FINANCE#110,753$2Vol: $945
🎭 CULTURE#180,516$1Vol: $719
🏛️ POLITICS#1,544,139$-111Vol: $248
📢 MENTIONS#52,285$0Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-179
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$108,192
Total Redeem
$664
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
296
total markets
Trades
394B / 158S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~136d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $98
Week
$1
Vol: $390
Month
$14
Vol: $1,600
All Time
$-179
Vol: $108,192

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
258W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-179
Win Rate
88%
258W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-42

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $68 (0.3784131602506714% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$46
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions (W)$14
Blackhawks vs. Kraken$7
Nuggets vs. Kings$5
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-03?$2
Will NEC win on 2026-04-04?$2
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?$2
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Kennesaw State Owls (W)$2
Oilers vs. Utah$2
Sabres vs. Flames$2

Top Losers

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?$-169
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-111
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$-86
Washington Huskies vs. USC Trojans$-35
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Dartmouth Big Green (W)$-14
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.113
Sortino
-0.036
HHI
68
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
11.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 260s — normal for humanCV 0.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.89
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)0.3%
High (>55c)99.2%

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 6:04:41 PM26 trades$1,40215 min
3/25/2026, 3:51:03 AM12 trades$99314 min
4/5/2026, 5:06:33 PM28 trades$76616 min
4/5/2026, 4:24:29 AM7 trades$3984 min
4/5/2026, 4:36:59 AM5 trades$3764 min
4/5/2026, 4:40:59 PM5 trades$24111 min
4/4/2026, 8:39:23 PM8 trades$23810 min
1/24/2026, 1:40:16 AM2 trades$2171 min
12/4/2025, 3:02:19 AM2 trades$2134 min
12/5/2025, 5:47:31 AM4 trades$2024 min
4/12/2026, 12:41:41 PM9 trades$1965 min
10/3/2026, 7:08:02 PM2 trades$1940 min
9/16/2026, 7:46:52 PM2 trades$1930 min
1/19/2026, 5:48:42 PM2 trades$1903 min
12/14/2025, 1:00:49 AM2 trades$1691 min
12/14/2025, 3:19:13 AM3 trades$1694 min
12/13/2025, 7:13:41 PM3 trades$1682 min
7/20/2026, 12:01:12 PM2 trades$1620 min
12/12/2025, 3:37:16 AM2 trades$1541 min
12/1/2025, 1:01:04 AM2 trades$1491 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-30
12-23
01-13
02-10
03-15
05-04
09-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 175 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.89/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.5 / M0.3 / H99.2