@Erasmus.
#3,073,509410xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784
~491d· 745 markets · 32698 tradesVol: $144,496,2702026-08-06 05:42:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
71% (522/732)20/20
0.87x (win $6,561,959 / loss $7,585,887)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4770/15
Sortino -0.5370/10
$-0.0108 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 347 (732 markets)10/10
209/291 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 347% of peak ($2,260,079 / $651,461)0/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 71%
DCA Master
Avg 51.3 entries/market
Whale
$95,193,674 invested
Consistent
209/291 profitable days
High Roller
$130,402/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,984$-36,853Vol: $81,364,408
📈 ECONOMICS#683,707$-586,147Vol: $25,101,665
💻 TECH#4$182,519Vol: $18,836,644
🎭 CULTURE#169$44,692Vol: $10,335,140
₿ CRYPTO#143$195,086Vol: $5,293,105
⚽ SPORTS#684$123,177Vol: $2,417,648
📢 MENTIONS#2,772$363Vol: $262,864
💰 FINANCE#1,158$4,678Vol: $115,913
🌤️ WEATHER#506$4,057Vol: $74,141
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-42,514
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$144,496,270
Total Redeem
$556,832
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
745
total markets
Trades
23555B / 9143S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~491d
Periods
#2Today
$-399
Vol: $0
Week
$2,076
Vol: $0
Month
$5,689
Vol: $0
All Time
$-42,514
Vol: $144,496,270
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
71%
522W / 210L events
Realized PnL
$-42,310
Win Rate
71%
522W / 210L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$12,571
Avg Loss
$-36,123
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,942,023 (45.89991169923663% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,236,359
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$426,738
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$278,926
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$222,425
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$216,153
Will Biden finish his term?$200,112
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$173,311
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$172,864
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$171,377
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$164,503
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,151,183
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,098,870
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-695,059
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-555,311
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-541,621
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-473,989
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-469,022
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-312,100
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$-259,077
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-242,465
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.025
Sortino
-0.016
HHI
528
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.2%
Top-5 markets
37.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
44.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.2m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
45.1
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 5.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock45 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
51.28
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.9%
Mid (20-55c)12.1%
High (>55c)82.9%
Sessions
#121/20/2025, 1:14:51 PM101 trades$2,283,84954 min
1/19/2025, 8:04:19 PM164 trades$2,278,01081 min
1/20/2025, 11:57:39 AM121 trades$2,184,61447 min
1/20/2025, 7:02:13 PM9 trades$1,894,9338 min
12/23/2024, 1:56:06 PM71 trades$1,307,81438 min
1/20/2025, 11:24:57 AM83 trades$1,071,22925 min
4/29/2025, 4:53:58 AM74 trades$1,030,53511 min
12/9/2025, 1:15:24 PM3 trades$924,9072 min
1/20/2025, 3:07:45 PM3 trades$883,3840 min
10/18/2024, 7:28:35 PM2 trades$848,8142 min
1/20/2025, 2:15:57 PM25 trades$727,73022 min
1/20/2025, 4:05:25 PM12 trades$708,34711 min
1/20/2025, 8:57:51 PM42 trades$705,00947 min
1/20/2025, 12:17:43 AM811 trades$702,36742 min
6/17/2026, 5:43:07 PM2 trades$698,6000 min
3/31/2026, 10:06:29 PM14 trades$671,7381 min
3/1/2026, 1:41:17 AM34 trades$644,4129 min
1/20/2025, 8:02:43 PM22 trades$609,13926 min
7/27/2026, 8:12:54 PM69 trades$579,77110 min
7/28/2026, 4:27:07 PM20 trades$573,7723 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-31
10-11
12-12
03-02
07-05
01-13
07-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 51.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.9 / M12.1 / H82.9