justdance

@justdance

#8073

0xcc500cbcc8b7cf5bd21975ebbea34f21b5644c82

~724d· 8480 markets · 346183 tradesVol: $118,074,0142026-08-06 05:33:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (4819/8449)13.5/20
1.26x (win $1,084,027 / loss $857,760)5.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.57715/15
Sortino 4.07210/10
$+0.0440 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 20 (8449 markets)10/10
275/500 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($40,684 / $241,505)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+1,944,070
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Whale
$5,137,822 invested
High Roller
$6,520/day
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#3$1,890,476Vol: $113,131,662
🏛️ POLITICS#9,916$2,563Vol: $2,721,206
SPORTS#1,864$33,786Vol: $1,698,397
📈 ECONOMICS#224$32,068Vol: $265,785
💰 FINANCE#657,826$-3,548Vol: $119,333
🎭 CULTURE#7,625$530Vol: $103,972
🌤️ WEATHER#17,026$18Vol: $849

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,951,310
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$118,074,014
Total Redeem
$658,343
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8480
total markets
Trades
31808B / 2829S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~724d

Periods

#2
Today
$434
Vol: $14,338
Week
$2,111
Vol: $205,115
Month
$8,402
Vol: $251,595
All Time
$1,951,310
Vol: $118,074,014

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
9536W / 7228L events
Realized PnL
$1,944,070
Win Rate
57%
9536W / 7228L
Profit Factor
1.26x
Avg Win
$225
Avg Loss
$-237

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39,764 (0.020453930168649912% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$19,626
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?$10,546
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?$9,592
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?$9,445
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?$8,357
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?$7,534
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? $7,497
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?$7,339
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$7,087
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?$7,066

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$-16,830
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?$-16,378
Dolphins vs. Bills$-10,859
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$-9,413
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$-9,026
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?$-8,616
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3700 on July 22 at 5PM ET?$-8,144
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?$-8,033
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$-7,568
Will Bitcoin reach $90k in April?$-7,550

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.135
Sortino
0.174
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
439.3
Very active
Markets / Day
10.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.5m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 286s — normal for humanCV 3.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock439 trades/day — automation11 markets/day — mass coverage7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.6%
Mid (20-55c)38.5%
High (>55c)47.9%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 9:15:43 PM23 trades$37,6004 min
8/24/2025, 7:38:13 PM21 trades$25,2406 min
6/3/2026, 4:01:46 PM25 trades$24,8641 min
6/26/2025, 4:03:49 PM4 trades$23,3507 min
4/21/2026, 5:18:06 PM13 trades$22,6090 min
7/15/2024, 7:13:37 PM1 trades$18,5130 min
8/4/2025, 2:43:04 PM2 trades$14,5500 min
2/5/2025, 11:00:55 PM1 trades$14,3990 min
6/16/2025, 11:19:15 AM2 trades$13,2700 min
8/9/2025, 6:26:11 AM4 trades$12,5784 min
1/30/2026, 1:39:24 AM13 trades$11,59016 min
2/5/2026, 8:13:31 PM7 trades$11,5877 min
6/24/2026, 4:51:13 PM12 trades$11,1691 min
4/13/2026, 10:14:49 PM22 trades$11,0612 min
8/14/2025, 12:32:04 PM24 trades$10,8016 min
4/26/2026, 9:55:24 PM30 trades$10,4038 min
9/12/2024, 5:45:28 PM2 trades$10,3592 min
8/18/2025, 11:47:24 AM3 trades$10,0710 min
10/4/2025, 7:22:43 PM21 trades$10,06719 min
11/16/2025, 5:43:59 PM46 trades$9,97540 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-27
03-05
07-17
10-08
12-31
03-25
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 107 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.6 / M38.5 / H47.9