@belivevkk

#422,53384

0xd0ee10eb1608dd878674b068f957efa764b2a13f

~29d· 31 markets · 84 tradesVol: $5,5422026-10-08 02:15:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (20/27)20/20
2.06x (win $24 / loss $12)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.54415/15
Sortino 16.09110/10
$+0.0054 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 1467 (27 markets)5.2/10
12/17 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($3 / $12)8.6/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+17
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Consistent
12/17 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 27%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$17
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,542
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
62B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
20W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$17
Win Rate
74%
20W / 7L
Profit Factor
2.06x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15 (0.8882915173237755% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?$6
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?$5
Was Trump hacked?$5
Base airdrop in 2024?$2
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?$1
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$1
Will Base launch a token in 2025?$1
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$1
Farcaster airdrop in 2024?$1
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$1

Top Losers

Ethereum all time high in 2024?$-6
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?$-3
Will a Democrat win California Presidential Election?$-1
Will a candidate from another party win Idaho Presidential Election?$-0
Will a candidate from another party win Alaska Presidential Election?$-0
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.383
Sortino
0.561
HHI
990
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
14.4%
Half-Kelly
7.2%
Top-1 market
22.2%
Top-5 markets
58.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 479s — normal for humanCV 2.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.74
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)58.1%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2025, 7:35:29 AM4 trades$1,1133 min
5/20/2025, 12:51:51 AM3 trades$7555 min
5/20/2025, 1:02:39 AM3 trades$3485 min
4/25/2025, 8:25:20 AM1 trades$1110 min
1/18/2025, 9:58:16 AM2 trades$1090 min
10/7/2024, 4:52:29 AM3 trades$1084 min
7/29/2024, 10:05:29 AM1 trades$1060 min
10/10/2024, 1:14:41 AM13 trades$10512 min
5/21/2025, 3:25:19 AM1 trades$1050 min
10/26/2025, 2:08:27 PM1 trades$930 min
9/27/2025, 9:44:36 PM1 trades$920 min
3/3/2025, 8:07:31 AM1 trades$910 min
2/18/2025, 11:24:16 AM1 trades$900 min
12/12/2025, 5:17:34 AM3 trades$601 min
9/2/2024, 9:10:53 AM1 trades$580 min
3/5/2025, 8:28:25 AM1 trades$500 min
9/2/2024, 8:39:56 AM1 trades$480 min
8/21/2024, 10:05:12 AM2 trades$453 min
10/26/2025, 6:29:03 AM2 trades$381 min
7/12/2026, 12:23:55 AM1 trades$340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-22
10-10
10-16
12-13
02-18
03-05
05-20
09-27
12-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.74/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.9 / M0 / H58.1