@0xd1e1…69a6
10xd1e1e6dfb3bcb646a1f0f8d44471767286e069a6
~32d· 22 markets · 316 trades2026-10-08 01:21:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
26% (5/19)0/20
0.84x (win $4,440 / loss $5,301)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1570/15
Sortino -1.7370/10
$-0.0959 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2695 (19 markets)0/10
5/16 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 1333% of peak ($4,471 / $335)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+1,390
Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,390
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,984
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
66B / 250S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
26%
5W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$1,390
Win Rate
26%
5W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$888
Avg Loss
$-379
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,966 (2.8541326328667553% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$2,467
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1,048
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$451
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$237
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$237
Top Losers
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-1,933
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-1,058
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-460
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-400
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-400
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-278
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-232
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$-225
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?$-141
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-84
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.059
Sortino
-0.094
HHI
1286
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.098
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27%
Top-5 markets
68.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.0h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1598s — normal for humanCV 1.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
17.47
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24.2%
Mid (20-55c)43.9%
High (>55c)31.8%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 9:20:43 AM2 trades$20,0000 min
9/17/2026, 1:18:55 PM2 trades$7,7780 min
6/16/2026, 10:58:57 AM2 trades$5,8820 min
7/22/2026, 2:05:09 PM12 trades$4,7980 min
5/6/2026, 6:17:44 AM19 trades$3,0751 min
6/19/2026, 1:13:43 PM7 trades$2,4070 min
9/11/2026, 1:05:34 PM23 trades$2,4064 min
8/29/2026, 11:39:48 PM15 trades$2,4013 min
7/7/2026, 1:35:20 PM13 trades$2,2130 min
5/2/2026, 12:51:04 PM7 trades$1,5733 min
8/27/2026, 3:10:24 AM2 trades$1,1630 min
6/12/2026, 10:17:48 PM22 trades$1,1010 min
6/12/2026, 10:30:00 AM20 trades$1,0950 min
5/1/2026, 2:34:36 PM18 trades$8632 min
5/5/2026, 7:39:34 AM2 trades$8330 min
4/30/2026, 10:50:36 PM11 trades$7780 min
5/22/2026, 12:27:56 PM3 trades$6650 min
5/6/2026, 10:46:00 AM9 trades$5250 min
6/14/2026, 9:59:12 PM9 trades$5120 min
4/25/2026, 10:11:30 AM4 trades$4840 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-28
04-14
04-25
05-05
05-22
06-16
06-19
07-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 53 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
79.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.47/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L24.2 / M43.9 / H31.8