@0xd85b…4807

38

0xd85bdbb1ebf5262b30f03d999781fb3ed5aa4807

~9d· 9 markets · 90 trades2026-10-08 02:59:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (2/5)5/20
3.73x (win $2,073 / loss $556)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.1262 per $1 invested6.3/10
HHI 4509 (5 markets)0/10
2/4 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($556 / $1,517)6.7/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+270
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$270
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,025
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9
total markets
Trades
18B / 72S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
2W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$270
Win Rate
40%
2W / 3L
Profit Factor
3.73x
Avg Win
$1,036
Avg Loss
$-185

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,073 (7.681612688060476% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$1,783
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$290

Top Losers

US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?$-300
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-217
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-38

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.382
Sortino
1.120
HHI
3334
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.141
Kelly %
27.9%
Half-Kelly
14.0%
Top-1 market
44.5%
Top-5 markets
89.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 520s — normal for humanCV 0.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.8
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.9%
Mid (20-55c)44.4%
High (>55c)16.7%

Sessions

#12
10/6/2026, 8:10:24 PM10 trades$9,0610 min
10/6/2026, 7:21:54 PM34 trades$5,5130 min
3/4/2026, 1:55:53 AM4 trades$3,9654 min
10/7/2026, 6:04:06 PM5 trades$3,5890 min
10/7/2026, 6:17:01 PM18 trades$2,9690 min
5/29/2026, 7:27:28 PM3 trades$2,1600 min
3/4/2026, 3:41:03 PM2 trades$2,1480 min
3/11/2026, 5:13:05 PM2 trades$1,7140 min
3/3/2026, 7:05:15 PM3 trades$1,3761 min
10/6/2026, 7:12:14 PM3 trades$1,0700 min
3/22/2026, 7:54:09 AM1 trades$5850 min
3/3/2026, 10:10:21 PM1 trades$5080 min
2/28/2026, 11:10:31 AM1 trades$3460 min
2/19/2026, 3:06:38 PM1 trades$2570 min
2/28/2026, 1:20:57 PM1 trades$2500 min
2/28/2026, 11:01:51 AM1 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-19
03-03
03-04
05-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
80% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.8/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.9 / M44.4 / H16.7