@mitsosn

#63,01737

0xd9813dd48cbda560fe9e3c37de6e764a6f4d2da8

~163d· 293 markets · 995 tradesVol: $79,8762026-10-08 01:46:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (190/275)19.5/20
0.43x (win $2,053 / loss $4,769)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3790/15
Sortino -3.4990/10
$-0.0624 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 113 (275 markets)10/10
69/114 profitable days (61%)7.6/10
Max DD 7254% of peak ($2,778 / $38)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+1,184
Consistent
69/114 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#51,204$296Vol: $30,757
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,572$-2,123Vol: $21,898
🎭 CULTURE#2,319$3,007Vol: $15,609
⚽ SPORTS#221,170$22Vol: $4,766
💰 FINANCE#10,043$280Vol: $3,649
📈 ECONOMICS#31,095$18Vol: $2,187
💻 TECH#11,673$30Vol: $330
📢 MENTIONS#25,303$5Vol: $34

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,526
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$79,876
Total Redeem
$1,105
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
293
total markets
Trades
608B / 387S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~163d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $1,070
Month
$27
Vol: $3,657
All Time
$1,526
Vol: $79,876

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
190W / 85L events
Realized PnL
$1,184
Win Rate
69%
190W / 85L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-58

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $633 (0.5347715950350419% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$368
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$158
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$107
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$105
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$102
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?$72
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$69
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$65
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$55
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$44

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-551
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-535
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-500
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-431
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$-396
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-300
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$-266
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-262
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-137
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?$-129

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.176
Sortino
-0.127
HHI
77
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
11.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 610s — normal for humanCV 1.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.31
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.1%
Mid (20-55c)15.1%
High (>55c)78.8%

Sessions

#12
9/3/2026, 11:49:51 AM4 trades$2,1090 min
2/4/2026, 11:20:24 AM3 trades$1,7012 min
1/31/2026, 1:22:48 AM5 trades$1,53212 min
2/4/2026, 3:37:43 PM1 trades$1,2170 min
4/1/2026, 8:41:17 AM17 trades$1,1330 min
2/6/2026, 8:34:21 AM1 trades$9940 min
2/4/2026, 5:08:05 PM3 trades$9904 min
2/5/2026, 2:44:43 PM1 trades$8470 min
2/5/2026, 1:25:47 PM1 trades$8080 min
9/23/2026, 5:05:41 PM1 trades$7420 min
2/2/2026, 4:27:08 PM6 trades$6789 min
2/3/2026, 5:57:36 PM3 trades$6252 min
3/1/2026, 2:50:49 PM4 trades$6008 min
1/20/2026, 3:06:52 PM5 trades$5937 min
2/13/2026, 3:03:01 PM2 trades$5750 min
9/27/2026, 7:26:57 AM3 trades$5700 min
3/6/2026, 6:04:47 PM5 trades$5603 min
9/23/2026, 4:29:33 PM1 trades$5590 min
1/22/2026, 2:29:54 PM2 trades$5471 min
1/31/2026, 6:29:36 PM9 trades$51521 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
11-16
01-12
02-02
02-23
05-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 145 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.1 / M15.1 / H78.8