@Fgmfactor

#3,164,43823

0xdb7ce566ad88318a358bcee5d7f324f129cb8eab

~162d· 439 markets · 904 tradesVol: $368,5242026-10-08 02:59:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (202/439)8/20
0.87x (win $64,548 / loss $73,775)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7660/15
Sortino -2.2940/10
$-0.0832 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 52 (439 markets)10/10
73/158 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 442% of peak ($16,125 / $3,645)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
Whale
$110,845 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,931,309$-7,757Vol: $343,482

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,757
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$368,524
Total Redeem
$13,966
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
439
total markets
Trades
498B / 406S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~162d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
193W / 230L events
Realized PnL
$-8,836
Win Rate
46%
193W / 230L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$320
Avg Loss
$-322

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,158 (0.4705894335625399% of PnL)

Top Winners

Canadiens vs. Sabres$1,598
Lions vs. Panthers$1,359
Guardians vs. Twins$1,202
Canadiens vs. Lightning$1,131
Bears vs. Eagles$864
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5$854
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)$818
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)$818
Spread: Miami (FL) (-15.5)$800
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$792

Top Losers

Eagles vs. Giants$-1,622
Seahawks vs. Commanders$-1,400
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5$-1,297
Lions vs. Vikings$-1,240
Eagles vs. Bears$-1,200
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-1,200
Canadiens vs. Sabres$-1,140
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox$-1,000
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-1,000
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-901

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.092
Sortino
-0.128
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.082
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
6.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
35.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.5h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2103s — normal for humanCV 0.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.13
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)62.7%
High (>55c)31.1%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 10:49:26 PM15 trades$2,5683 min
9/21/2025, 1:38:26 AM1 trades$2,4060 min
5/15/2026, 1:04:09 AM5 trades$2,4010 min
4/25/2026, 6:25:42 PM13 trades$2,3332 min
5/6/2026, 7:19:22 PM2 trades$2,1430 min
5/2/2026, 3:33:10 AM2 trades$1,9200 min
4/26/2026, 3:36:02 PM7 trades$1,8431 min
9/20/2026, 4:13:04 PM4 trades$1,7261 min
6/26/2026, 1:12:46 AM6 trades$1,6335 min
5/4/2026, 10:27:58 PM4 trades$1,6031 min
10/3/2026, 2:36:06 PM4 trades$1,5691 min
6/26/2026, 11:02:34 PM9 trades$1,5312 min
6/18/2026, 8:31:52 PM14 trades$1,4664 min
5/10/2026, 10:06:22 PM15 trades$1,4652 min
6/12/2026, 12:17:27 AM4 trades$1,4331 min
10/9/2025, 8:04:44 PM3 trades$1,4202 min
4/26/2026, 8:58:16 PM4 trades$1,4141 min
12/21/2025, 5:24:47 PM5 trades$1,3493 min
9/21/2026, 11:36:12 PM4 trades$1,3020 min
11/1/2025, 6:43:39 PM4 trades$1,3003 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-12
10-19
11-23
01-12
05-02
06-19
10-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 282 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.13/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L6.2 / M62.7 / H31.1