@pollybott
#2,998,668310xdbc45db6ba0618e6182109854e8d19a77b4f4347
~111d· 757 markets · 24128 tradesVol: $452,0012026-10-08 01:20:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
62% (422/686)15.8/20
0.96x (win $19,232 / loss $20,070)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2720/15
Sortino -0.4480/10
$-0.0109 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 816 (686 markets)8.4/10
44/86 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 145% of peak ($6,525 / $4,498)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 62%
DCA Master
Avg 44.0 entries/market
Whale
$76,798 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-806
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$452,001
Total Redeem
$214
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
757
total markets
Trades
11559B / 12569S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~111d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
62%
423W / 263L events
Realized PnL
$-366
Win Rate
62%
423W / 263L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$46
Avg Loss
$-84
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,242 (22.534107997265888% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3,895
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$2,363
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,984
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$1,083
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$622
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$512
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$255
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?$248
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$246
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$240
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-2,504
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-1,037
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-962
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-925
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-757
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-743
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-649
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-591
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-552
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-464
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.014
Sortino
-0.020
HHI
374
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
34.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
202.8
Very active
Markets / Day
6.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
14.4m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
21 min
Avg Trades / Session
159.2
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock203 trades/day — automation6.4 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
43.99
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.8%
Mid (20-55c)14.9%
High (>55c)71.2%
Sessions
#125/9/2026, 6:21:37 PM55 trades$36,53320 min
5/9/2026, 6:51:48 PM20 trades$9,0575 min
5/8/2026, 9:53:02 AM763 trades$6,41251 min
7/19/2026, 10:43:45 PM158 trades$3,36628 min
6/14/2026, 10:29:28 PM123 trades$3,26242 min
6/19/2026, 8:59:49 PM122 trades$3,19212 min
6/14/2026, 8:57:43 PM281 trades$2,83657 min
5/6/2026, 8:50:41 PM158 trades$2,59422 min
6/12/2026, 3:22:19 PM49 trades$2,58013 min
6/1/2026, 9:28:55 PM19 trades$2,33814 min
6/13/2026, 12:24:15 AM52 trades$2,14918 min
5/7/2026, 7:58:56 PM361 trades$1,911104 min
5/8/2026, 7:47:56 AM492 trades$1,68347 min
5/8/2026, 6:20:38 PM171 trades$1,68067 min
6/17/2026, 7:01:55 PM166 trades$1,68030 min
5/5/2026, 4:32:34 PM431 trades$1,67537 min
6/2/2026, 12:48:39 PM1336 trades$1,51434 min
5/8/2026, 1:38:52 PM333 trades$1,49423 min
5/27/2026, 5:37:10 PM76 trades$1,4051 min
6/13/2026, 4:46:07 PM176 trades$1,36925 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-16
05-05
05-19
06-10
06-26
07-16
08-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 33 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 43.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.8 / M14.9 / H71.2