nigiri99

@nigiri99

#3,187,40521

0xdc41c39b95453c943174f369926018f6963bdd7e

~96d· 2635 markets · 282576 tradesVol: $108,913,4142026-10-07 00:12:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (2571/6081)6.1/20
0.82x (win $8,458,602 / loss $10,353,999)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6690/15
Sortino -1.9090/10
$-1.1915 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 83 (6081 markets)10/10
141/300 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 9437% of peak ($1,854,439 / $19,651)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
5% sells
Whale
$1,590,770 invested
High Roller
$2,866/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#1,940,315$-861,011Vol: $96,351,483
📈 ECONOMICS#700,860$-436,873Vol: $5,557,271
🏛️ POLITICS#1,653,287$-8,551Vol: $1,473,313
🌤️ WEATHER#245,839$-10Vol: $2,383
💰 FINANCE#518,012$-2Vol: $569
💻 TECH#193,003$-1Vol: $222
🎭 CULTURE#109,190$3Vol: $210
₿ CRYPTO#1,179,647$-11Vol: $89

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,543,652
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$108,913,414
Total Redeem
$16,746
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2635
total markets
Trades
13053B / 15309S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~96d

Periods

#2
Today
$-34,259
Vol: $938,254
Week
$47,821
Vol: $11,361,838
Month
$-2,684,797
Vol: $57,505,352
All Time
$-1,543,652
Vol: $108,913,414

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
2308W / 3186L events
Realized PnL
$-1,543,652
Win Rate
42%
2308W / 3186L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$3,290
Avg Loss
$-3,059

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $701,318 (0.45432389146182733% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will CF América win on 2026-08-09?$307,765
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)$209,221
Spread: CAR (-1.5)$184,332
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5$181,129
Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?$166,587
Spread: Rams (-3.5)$146,996
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-07?$122,752
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres$119,236
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-12?$116,345
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?$109,181

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$-448,414
Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?$-302,131
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees$-282,392
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-247,316
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?$-170,176
Spread: Vikings (-10.5)$-154,100
Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 45.5$-139,759
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-11?$-121,315
Wyoming vs. Central Michigan$-116,014
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?$-112,549

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.087
Sortino
-0.077
HHI
3970
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.133
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
35.6%
Top-5 markets
96.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
509.1
Very active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.4m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
22 min
Avg Trades / Session
65.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 132s — normal for humanCV 5.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock509 trades/day — automation4.7 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
42.35
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.4%
Mid (20-55c)57.4%
High (>55c)31.2%

Sessions

#12
10/4/2026, 4:14:13 PM246 trades$72,16745 min
9/20/2026, 4:12:39 PM104 trades$61,80540 min
9/9/2026, 8:10:43 PM18 trades$61,3791 min
9/22/2026, 4:02:09 PM38 trades$58,16818 min
9/14/2026, 11:13:57 PM10 trades$50,24011 min
10/4/2026, 6:32:26 PM22 trades$27,38314 min
8/13/2026, 10:25:33 PM385 trades$26,828114 min
9/14/2026, 2:34:57 PM2 trades$25,8380 min
8/7/2026, 9:35:04 PM363 trades$24,518126 min
8/12/2026, 10:05:19 PM132 trades$24,02456 min
9/27/2026, 7:54:20 PM76 trades$21,26530 min
9/27/2026, 11:53:23 PM25 trades$21,2539 min
9/14/2026, 7:58:07 PM5 trades$20,9130 min
7/15/2026, 4:22:44 PM5 trades$20,4190 min
9/20/2026, 12:41:04 PM2 trades$20,1220 min
9/12/2026, 4:32:30 AM12 trades$18,9412 min
3/31/2026, 5:04:31 PM352 trades$18,076111 min
9/27/2026, 12:33:09 PM15 trades$17,0664 min
9/27/2026, 3:56:57 PM39 trades$16,84031 min
9/14/2026, 10:07:46 AM6 trades$16,4550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-09-11 18:10:00
2026-09-14 17:05:00
2026-09-18 23:10:00
2026-09-21 20:30:00
2026-09-26 23:00:00
2026-10-02 22:30:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 42.35/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L11.4 / M57.4 / H31.2