@chubbytoro

#3,180,18327

0xe4a57385a34b0b32fd86be72efd25cda41003cad

~7d· 14 markets · 1067 tradesVol: $2,395,9592026-10-05 20:41:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (6/14)6.4/20
1.05x (win $726,864 / loss $692,930)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2955.5/15
Sortino 0.5615.6/10
$+0.0372 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 1645 (14 markets)4.3/10
3/10 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 113% of peak ($311,646 / $276,272)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
71% entries < $0.55
Whale
$911,621 invested
High Roller
$113,953/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,937,104$-36,380Vol: $2,395,959

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-36,380
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,395,959
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
511B / 556S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

Periods

#2
Today
$211
Vol: $33,175
Week
$122,868
Vol: $2,077,937
Month
$-31,467
Vol: $2,395,959
All Time
$-36,380
Vol: $2,395,959

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
6W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-36,380
Win Rate
43%
6W / 7L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$121,144
Avg Loss
$-98,990

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $634,894 (17.451682801398896% of PnL)

Top Winners

Colts vs. Commanders$290,420
Spread: Colts (-3.5)$277,499
Spread: Packers (-3.5)$66,976
Panthers vs. Hurricanes$47,982
Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5$23,988
Spread: Colts (-4.5)$20,000

Top Losers

Vikings vs. Buccaneers$-308,690
Packers vs. Buccaneers$-128,766
Broncos vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5$-96,877
Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5$-83,670
Ducks vs. Golden Knights$-36,472
Rangers vs. Bruins$-20,938
Devils vs. Islanders$-17,516

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.015
Sortino
0.029
HHI
1724
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.9%
Top-5 markets
78.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
133.4
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
17.2m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 4.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock133 trades/day — automation1.8 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
76.21
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)70.8%
High (>55c)29%

Sessions

#12
10/3/2026, 4:00:21 PM150 trades$749,32010 min
9/27/2026, 5:53:59 PM64 trades$315,0000 min
10/3/2026, 5:04:02 PM136 trades$234,6221 min
10/4/2026, 5:50:14 PM64 trades$90,0362 min
10/4/2026, 8:05:32 PM71 trades$48,8980 min
10/4/2026, 7:43:10 PM38 trades$28,0111 min
9/30/2026, 1:37:08 AM25 trades$27,4366 min
9/28/2026, 7:22:18 PM27 trades$14,3826 min
10/2/2026, 3:50:05 PM17 trades$13,5307 min
9/28/2026, 10:39:38 PM67 trades$11,5478 min
9/28/2026, 1:18:30 PM25 trades$11,0648 min
10/3/2026, 1:43:29 PM22 trades$10,7762 min
10/2/2026, 11:05:56 AM6 trades$8,0970 min
10/3/2026, 12:13:11 AM2 trades$3,7922 min
9/29/2026, 12:52:41 AM19 trades$3,66713 min
9/28/2026, 11:15:53 PM4 trades$3,3895 min
9/28/2026, 10:00:57 PM25 trades$2,6529 min
10/3/2026, 11:17:08 PM8 trades$2,5649 min
9/27/2026, 9:07:29 PM5 trades$2,0323 min
9/28/2026, 5:45:11 PM3 trades$1,9743 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-09-27 17:00:00
2026-09-27 20:05:00
2026-09-29 21:00:00
2026-09-30 00:00:00
2026-09-30 02:00:00
2026-10-03 02:00:00
2026-10-03 23:30:00
2026-10-04 13:30:00
2026-10-04 17:00:00
2026-10-04 20:25:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 76.21/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L0.2 / M70.8 / H29