@0xe96b…a737
80xe96b4be87ceae04b8b37a6a36c174e84902ea737
~43d· 87 markets · 262 trades2026-10-08 00:26:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (39/85)7.9/20
0.46x (win $181 / loss $396)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.5270/15
Sortino -5.7460/10
$-0.1510 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5030 (85 markets)0/10
10/32 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 704% of peak ($288 / $41)0/10
Badges
2Contrarian
75% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-171
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,424
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
146B / 116S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
39W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$-171
Win Rate
46%
39W / 46L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-9
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $141 (0.8223183998128436% of PnL)
Top Winners
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition$67
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$34
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?$5
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$3
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?$3
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$2
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$2
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-72
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-67
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-44
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-22
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?$-20
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $-20
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$-20
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-13
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.285
Sortino
-0.275
HHI
1995
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.126
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.5%
Top-5 markets
81.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 222s — normal for humanCV 3.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.38
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)19.2%
Mid (20-55c)56.2%
High (>55c)24.7%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 2:47:19 PM2 trades$9,0000 min
6/19/2026, 2:09:26 PM6 trades$1,0844 min
6/2/2026, 10:23:09 PM2 trades$5000 min
2/12/2026, 3:41:33 AM3 trades$4251 min
2/12/2026, 2:50:21 AM1 trades$4000 min
6/15/2026, 12:08:43 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/16/2026, 6:59:01 AM5 trades$1090 min
6/1/2026, 1:52:18 AM2 trades$1000 min
7/15/2026, 6:49:28 AM3 trades$1000 min
2/9/2026, 3:48:57 AM2 trades$902 min
2/16/2026, 2:59:17 AM1 trades$670 min
6/16/2026, 3:11:56 PM2 trades$570 min
5/24/2026, 2:18:25 PM2 trades$500 min
3/23/2026, 1:39:59 PM1 trades$480 min
6/17/2026, 4:02:47 PM2 trades$480 min
2/19/2026, 3:05:18 PM1 trades$460 min
2/19/2026, 3:19:24 PM1 trades$460 min
2/13/2026, 2:26:41 AM13 trades$444 min
2/28/2026, 2:33:45 AM1 trades$440 min
2/28/2026, 2:45:15 AM1 trades$440 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
02-13
02-28
05-25
06-02
06-19
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 113 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.38/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L19.2 / M56.2 / H24.7