@elmcap2
#74900xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
90% (1638/1828)20/20
5.20x (win $2,514,667 / loss $484,038)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.79615/15
Sortino 25.31610/10
$+0.0081 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 105 (1828 markets)10/10
342/411 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($54,941 / $2,016,239)10/10
Badges
10Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+2,062,549
DCA Master
Avg 44.4 entries/market
Whale
$251,525,487 invested
Consistent
342/411 profitable days
High Roller
$210,482/day
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
Win Streak
61 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#46$797,233Vol: $130,823,685
📈 ECONOMICS#2$901,485Vol: $79,993,963
₿ CRYPTO#202$153,138Vol: $21,882,328
🎭 CULTURE#29$145,357Vol: $21,352,245
⚽ SPORTS#1,825,572$-951Vol: $13,276,800
📢 MENTIONS#87$23,490Vol: $9,509,641
💻 TECH#77$20,586Vol: $5,744,608
💰 FINANCE#370$14,563Vol: $5,647,878
🌤️ WEATHER#1,829$846Vol: $77,450
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,064,945
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$288,768,432
Total Redeem
$22,225,413
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1907
total markets
Trades
73113B / 12074S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~662d
Periods
#2Today
$565
Vol: $27,290
Week
$2,760
Vol: $839,505
Month
$17,998
Vol: $1,208,991
All Time
$2,064,945
Vol: $288,768,432
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
90%
1638W / 190L events
Realized PnL
$2,062,549
Win Rate
90%
1638W / 190L
Profit Factor
5.2x
Avg Win
$1,535
Avg Loss
$-2,602
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $475,130 (0.2303603741908776% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Biden finish his term?$201,470
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$175,930
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$97,730
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$80,347
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$66,072
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$64,601
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$61,961
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$59,148
Will Biden resign before the election?$55,783
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$54,640
Top Losers
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-47,477
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-30,241
Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? $-27,869
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$-24,953
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$-23,804
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$-20,735
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?$-20,293
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$-20,050
Biden nominated before Democratic convention?$-13,546
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$-10,512
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.251
Sortino
0.583
HHI
111
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
23.0%
Half-Kelly
11.5%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
14.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
71.3
Very active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.8m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
32 min
Avg Trades / Session
71.6
Bot Detection
#670
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 8.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock71 trades/day — mass trading1.6 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
44.36
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)88.7%
Sessions
#127/7/2026, 11:46:01 PM520 trades$5,540,648143 min
4/29/2026, 9:40:50 PM4 trades$4,512,6525 min
3/25/2026, 2:31:31 AM44 trades$2,497,69423 min
5/9/2026, 5:51:15 PM21 trades$2,497,5005 min
4/24/2026, 10:45:40 AM9 trades$2,147,7947 min
6/17/2026, 9:43:16 PM32 trades$2,018,90110 min
6/21/2025, 6:02:28 PM128 trades$1,899,16353 min
6/10/2026, 4:56:03 AM11 trades$1,832,5231 min
1/1/2026, 6:39:23 PM50 trades$1,627,76842 min
7/29/2026, 3:41:51 PM98 trades$1,554,51043 min
3/12/2026, 2:47:37 PM104 trades$1,512,50468 min
12/5/2025, 5:16:43 PM35 trades$1,498,50014 min
1/27/2026, 4:24:47 PM37 trades$1,443,36136 min
3/11/2026, 6:08:15 PM34 trades$1,315,78525 min
4/9/2026, 6:50:37 AM37 trades$1,297,63418 min
1/20/2025, 12:41:01 PM102 trades$1,258,84148 min
6/17/2026, 7:42:11 AM23 trades$1,258,27417 min
3/25/2026, 7:37:43 AM28 trades$1,249,01217 min
3/4/2026, 6:35:11 PM41 trades$1,211,59624 min
4/10/2026, 11:23:59 AM82 trades$1,178,15852 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2023-05-13 00:00:00
2024-11-07 00:00:00
2025-06-18 12:00:00
2025-10-26 17:00:00
2026-01-28 21:00:00
2026-05-17 03:59:59
2027-01-01 05:00:00
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 44.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9 / M2.4 / H88.7